Dimed SA Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| PNVL3 Stock | BRL 10.68 0.16 1.52% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Dimed SA Distribuidora on the next trading day is expected to be 10.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.47. Dimed Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Dimed SA stock prices and determine the direction of Dimed SA Distribuidora's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dimed SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dimed SA to cross-verify your projections. Dimed |
Most investors in Dimed SA cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Dimed SA's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Dimed SA's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Dimed SA Distribuidora is based on a synthetically constructed Dimed SAdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time. Dimed SA 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of June
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Dimed SA Distribuidora on the next trading day is expected to be 10.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.47.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dimed Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dimed SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Dimed SA Stock Forecast Pattern
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Dimed SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Dimed SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dimed SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.67 and 12.63, respectively. We have considered Dimed SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dimed SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dimed SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 79.9512 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3878 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4017 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0368 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.4705 |
Predictive Modules for Dimed SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dimed SA Distribuidora. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dimed SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Dimed SA
For every potential investor in Dimed, whether a beginner or expert, Dimed SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dimed Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dimed. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dimed SA's price trends.Dimed SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dimed SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dimed SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dimed SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dimed SA Distribuidora Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dimed SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dimed SA's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Dimed SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dimed SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dimed SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dimed SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dimed SA Distribuidora entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Dimed SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dimed SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dimed SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dimed stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Variance | 4.1 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| MSFT | Microsoft | |
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Additional Tools for Dimed Stock Analysis
When running Dimed SA's price analysis, check to measure Dimed SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dimed SA is operating at the current time. Most of Dimed SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dimed SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dimed SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dimed SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.