Rand Capital Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| RAND Stock | USD 15.11 0.15 0.98% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Rand Capital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 15.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.92. Rand Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Rand Capital stock prices and determine the direction of Rand Capital Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rand Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Rand Capital's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Rand Capital's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Rand Capital fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rand Capital to cross-verify your projections. Rand |
Most investors in Rand Capital cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Rand Capital's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Rand Capital's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for Rand Capital is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility. Rand Capital Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Rand Capital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 15.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.92.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rand Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rand Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Rand Capital Stock Forecast Pattern
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Rand Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Rand Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rand Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.73 and 16.49, respectively. We have considered Rand Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rand Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rand Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.1919 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0402 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1487 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0105 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.925 |
Predictive Modules for Rand Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rand Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rand Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Rand Capital
For every potential investor in Rand, whether a beginner or expert, Rand Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rand Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rand. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rand Capital's price trends.Rand Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rand Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rand Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rand Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Rand Capital Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Rand Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Rand Capital's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Rand Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rand Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rand Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rand Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rand Capital Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 126.46 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.25) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 15.42 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 15.31 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.38) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.15) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 61.55 |
Rand Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Rand Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rand Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rand stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9749 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Variance | 1.98 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9505 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.30) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| MSFT | Microsoft | |
| GM | General Motors | |
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rand Capital to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
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When running Rand Capital's price analysis, check to measure Rand Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rand Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Rand Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rand Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rand Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rand Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Rand Capital's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rand Capital. If investors know Rand will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rand Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 2.23 | Revenue Per Share 2.927 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.117 |
The market value of Rand Capital Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rand that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rand Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rand Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rand Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rand Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rand Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rand Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rand Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.