Regional Management Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| RM Stock | USD 26.13 0.29 1.10% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Regional Management Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 26.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.45. Regional Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Regional Management stock prices and determine the direction of Regional Management Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Regional Management's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Regional Management's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Regional Management's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Regional Management fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Regional Management to cross-verify your projections. Regional |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 Regional Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Regional Management's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Regional Management's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Regional Management stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Regional Management's open interest, investors have to compare it to Regional Management's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Regional Management is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Regional. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Regional Management cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Regional Management's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Regional Management's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Regional Management polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Regional Management Corp as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. Regional Management Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Regional Management Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 26.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.45.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Regional Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Regional Management's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Regional Management Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Regional Management | Regional Management Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Regional Management Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Regional Management's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Regional Management's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.78 and 28.62, respectively. We have considered Regional Management's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Regional Management stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Regional Management stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.9948 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4589 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0195 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 28.4545 |
Predictive Modules for Regional Management
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regional Management Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Regional Management's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Regional Management
For every potential investor in Regional, whether a beginner or expert, Regional Management's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Regional Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Regional. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Regional Management's price trends.Regional Management Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Regional Management stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Regional Management could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Regional Management by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Regional Management Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Regional Management's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Regional Management's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Regional Management Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Regional Management stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Regional Management shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Regional Management stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Regional Management Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 426.94 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.39) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 26.36 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 26.28 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.37) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.29) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.05 |
Regional Management Risk Indicators
The analysis of Regional Management's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Regional Management's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting regional stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.43 | |||
| Variance | 5.92 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.08 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.68 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.90) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Regional Management Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Regional Management's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Regional Management's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Regional Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Regional Management to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Regional Stock analysis
When running Regional Management's price analysis, check to measure Regional Management's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Regional Management is operating at the current time. Most of Regional Management's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Regional Management's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Regional Management's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Regional Management to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Regional Management's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Regional Management. If investors know Regional will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Regional Management listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 1.66 | Revenue Per Share 56.845 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.07 |
The market value of Regional Management Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Regional that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Regional Management's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Regional Management's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Regional Management's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Regional Management's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Regional Management's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Regional Management is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Regional Management's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.