BluMetric Environmental Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

SEPOF Stock  USD 0.29  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BluMetric Environmental on the next trading day is expected to be 0.29 with a mean absolute deviation of  0  and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.08. BluMetric Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast BluMetric Environmental stock prices and determine the direction of BluMetric Environmental's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BluMetric Environmental's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BluMetric Environmental to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in BluMetric Environmental cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the BluMetric Environmental's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets BluMetric Environmental's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
BluMetric Environmental simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for BluMetric Environmental are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as BluMetric Environmental prices get older.

BluMetric Environmental Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of May 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BluMetric Environmental on the next trading day is expected to be 0.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000027, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.08.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BluMetric Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BluMetric Environmental's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BluMetric Environmental Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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BluMetric Environmental Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BluMetric Environmental's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BluMetric Environmental's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 1.91, respectively. We have considered BluMetric Environmental's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.29
0.29
Expected Value
1.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BluMetric Environmental pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BluMetric Environmental pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.7405
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 3.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0013
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0045
SAESum of the absolute errors0.08
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting BluMetric Environmental forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent BluMetric Environmental observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for BluMetric Environmental

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BluMetric Environmental. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BluMetric Environmental's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.291.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.251.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BluMetric Environmental. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BluMetric Environmental's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BluMetric Environmental's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BluMetric Environmental.

Other Forecasting Options for BluMetric Environmental

For every potential investor in BluMetric, whether a beginner or expert, BluMetric Environmental's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BluMetric Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BluMetric. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BluMetric Environmental's price trends.

BluMetric Environmental Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BluMetric Environmental pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BluMetric Environmental could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BluMetric Environmental by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BluMetric Environmental Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BluMetric Environmental's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BluMetric Environmental's current price.

BluMetric Environmental Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BluMetric Environmental pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BluMetric Environmental shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BluMetric Environmental pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify BluMetric Environmental entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BluMetric Environmental Risk Indicators

The analysis of BluMetric Environmental's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BluMetric Environmental's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting blumetric pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards BluMetric Environmental in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, BluMetric Environmental's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from BluMetric Environmental options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BluMetric Environmental to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

Complementary Tools for BluMetric Pink Sheet analysis

When running BluMetric Environmental's price analysis, check to measure BluMetric Environmental's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BluMetric Environmental is operating at the current time. Most of BluMetric Environmental's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BluMetric Environmental's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BluMetric Environmental's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BluMetric Environmental to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between BluMetric Environmental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BluMetric Environmental is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BluMetric Environmental's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.