PT Sarana Pink Sheet Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| SMNUF Stock | USD 0.03 0.00 0.00% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PT Sarana Menara on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.25. SMNUF Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast PT Sarana stock prices and determine the direction of PT Sarana Menara's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PT Sarana's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PT Sarana to cross-verify your projections. SMNUF |
Most investors in PT Sarana cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the PT Sarana's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets PT Sarana's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for PT Sarana Menara is based on a synthetically constructed PT Saranadaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time. PT Sarana 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of May
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PT Sarana Menara on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000099, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SMNUF Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PT Sarana's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PT Sarana Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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PT Sarana Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PT Sarana's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PT Sarana's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 5.93, respectively. We have considered PT Sarana's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PT Sarana pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PT Sarana pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 72.1334 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0034 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.006 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1808 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.2463 |
Predictive Modules for PT Sarana
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Sarana Menara. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PT Sarana's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for PT Sarana
For every potential investor in SMNUF, whether a beginner or expert, PT Sarana's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SMNUF Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SMNUF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PT Sarana's price trends.PT Sarana Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PT Sarana pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PT Sarana could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PT Sarana by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PT Sarana Menara Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PT Sarana's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PT Sarana's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PT Sarana Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PT Sarana pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PT Sarana shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PT Sarana pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify PT Sarana Menara entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PT Sarana Risk Indicators
The analysis of PT Sarana's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PT Sarana's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting smnuf pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.38 | |||
| Variance | 40.72 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PT Sarana to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Complementary Tools for SMNUF Pink Sheet analysis
When running PT Sarana's price analysis, check to measure PT Sarana's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PT Sarana is operating at the current time. Most of PT Sarana's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PT Sarana's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PT Sarana's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PT Sarana to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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