Trada Maritime Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

TRAM Stock  IDR 50.00  0.00  0.00%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Trada Maritime Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 50.00 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.00  and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Trada Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Trada Maritime stock prices and determine the direction of Trada Maritime Tbk's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Trada Maritime's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Trada Maritime to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Trada Maritime cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Trada Maritime's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Trada Maritime's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Trada Maritime Tbk is based on a synthetically constructed Trada Maritimedaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Trada Maritime 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 22nd of May

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Trada Maritime Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 50.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Trada Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Trada Maritime's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Trada Maritime Stock Forecast Pattern

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Trada Maritime Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Trada Maritime's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Trada Maritime's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.00 and 50.00, respectively. We have considered Trada Maritime's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
50.00
50.00
Expected Value
50.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Trada Maritime stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Trada Maritime stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Trada Maritime Tbk 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Trada Maritime

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trada Maritime Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trada Maritime's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
50.0050.0050.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Trada Maritime. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Trada Maritime's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Trada Maritime's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Trada Maritime Tbk.

Other Forecasting Options for Trada Maritime

For every potential investor in Trada, whether a beginner or expert, Trada Maritime's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Trada Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Trada. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Trada Maritime's price trends.

Trada Maritime Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Trada Maritime stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Trada Maritime could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Trada Maritime by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Trada Maritime Tbk Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Trada Maritime's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Trada Maritime's current price.

Trada Maritime Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Trada Maritime stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Trada Maritime shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Trada Maritime stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Trada Maritime Tbk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Trada Maritime Tbk using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Trada Maritime to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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When running Trada Maritime's price analysis, check to measure Trada Maritime's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trada Maritime is operating at the current time. Most of Trada Maritime's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trada Maritime's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trada Maritime's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trada Maritime to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Trada Maritime's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trada Maritime is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trada Maritime's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.