Amer Beacon Ark Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.96
| ADNIX Fund | USD 11.96 0.43 3.47% |
Amer |
Amer Beacon Target Price Odds to finish over 11.96
The tendency of Amer Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 11.96 | 90 days | 11.96 | over 95.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amer Beacon to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.87 (This Amer Beacon Ark probability density function shows the probability of Amer Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Amer Beacon Ark has a beta of -0.27. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Amer Beacon are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Amer Beacon Ark is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Amer Beacon Ark has an alpha of 0.0022, implying that it can generate a 0.002178 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Amer Beacon Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Amer Beacon
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amer Beacon Ark. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amer Beacon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Amer Beacon Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amer Beacon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amer Beacon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amer Beacon Ark, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amer Beacon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Amer Beacon Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amer Beacon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amer Beacon Ark can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Amer Beacon Ark generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Amer Beacon Ark generated five year return of -1.0% | |
| This fund holds 96.93% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Amer Beacon Technical Analysis
Amer Beacon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amer Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amer Beacon Ark. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amer Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amer Beacon Predictive Forecast Models
Amer Beacon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amer Beacon's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amer Beacon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amer Beacon Ark
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amer Beacon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amer Beacon Ark help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Amer Beacon Ark generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Amer Beacon Ark generated five year return of -1.0% | |
| This fund holds 96.93% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Amer Beacon Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Amer Beacon Correlation, Amer Beacon Hype Analysis, Amer Beacon Volatility, Amer Beacon History as well as Amer Beacon Performance. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..