Brighthouse Financial Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 22.38

BHFAP Preferred Stock  USD 22.38  0.18  0.81%   
Brighthouse Financial's future price is the expected price of Brighthouse Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Brighthouse Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Brighthouse Financial Backtesting, Brighthouse Financial Valuation, Brighthouse Financial Correlation, Brighthouse Financial Hype Analysis, Brighthouse Financial Volatility, Brighthouse Financial History as well as Brighthouse Financial Performance.
To learn how to invest in Brighthouse Preferred Stock, please use our How to Invest in Brighthouse Financial guide.
  
Please specify Brighthouse Financial's target price for which you would like Brighthouse Financial odds to be computed.

Brighthouse Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 22.38

The tendency of Brighthouse Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 22.38 90 days 22.38 
more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brighthouse Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Brighthouse Financial probability density function shows the probability of Brighthouse Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Brighthouse Financial has a beta of 0.96 suggesting Brighthouse Financial market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Brighthouse Financial is expected to follow. Additionally Brighthouse Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Brighthouse Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Brighthouse Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brighthouse Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brighthouse Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.2222.3823.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.7522.9124.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.8821.0422.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.0422.9523.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Brighthouse Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Brighthouse Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Brighthouse Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Brighthouse Financial.

Brighthouse Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brighthouse Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brighthouse Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brighthouse Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brighthouse Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.96
σ
Overall volatility
0.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Brighthouse Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brighthouse Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brighthouse Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Brighthouse Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has accumulated 3.16 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.13, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Brighthouse Financial has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Brighthouse Financial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Brighthouse Financial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Brighthouse Financial sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Brighthouse to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Brighthouse Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Brighthouse Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brighthouse Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brighthouse Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brighthouse Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding68.3 M

Brighthouse Financial Technical Analysis

Brighthouse Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brighthouse Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brighthouse Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brighthouse Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Brighthouse Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Brighthouse Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brighthouse Financial's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brighthouse Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Brighthouse Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Brighthouse Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brighthouse Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Brighthouse Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has accumulated 3.16 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.13, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Brighthouse Financial has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Brighthouse Financial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Brighthouse Financial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Brighthouse Financial sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Brighthouse to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Brighthouse Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Check out Brighthouse Financial Backtesting, Brighthouse Financial Valuation, Brighthouse Financial Correlation, Brighthouse Financial Hype Analysis, Brighthouse Financial Volatility, Brighthouse Financial History as well as Brighthouse Financial Performance.
To learn how to invest in Brighthouse Preferred Stock, please use our How to Invest in Brighthouse Financial guide.
Note that the Brighthouse Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Brighthouse Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

Complementary Tools for Brighthouse Preferred Stock analysis

When running Brighthouse Financial's price analysis, check to measure Brighthouse Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brighthouse Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Brighthouse Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brighthouse Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brighthouse Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brighthouse Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
AI Portfolio Architect
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Commodity Channel
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Please note, there is a significant difference between Brighthouse Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brighthouse Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brighthouse Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.