Bank Utica Ny Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 430.00

BKUTK Stock  USD 430.00  8.00  1.83%   
Bank Utica's future price is the expected price of Bank Utica instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bank Utica Ny performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bank Utica Backtesting, Bank Utica Valuation, Bank Utica Correlation, Bank Utica Hype Analysis, Bank Utica Volatility, Bank Utica History as well as Bank Utica Performance.
  
Please specify Bank Utica's target price for which you would like Bank Utica odds to be computed.

Bank Utica Target Price Odds to finish over 430.00

The tendency of Bank Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 430.00 90 days 430.00 
about 23.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank Utica to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 23.5 (This Bank Utica Ny probability density function shows the probability of Bank Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bank Utica Ny has a beta of -0.0567 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bank Utica are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bank Utica Ny is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bank Utica Ny has an alpha of 0.2236, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bank Utica Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bank Utica

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Utica Ny. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank Utica's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
428.47430.00431.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
351.44352.97473.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
424.17425.69427.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
323.09434.33545.57
Details

Bank Utica Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank Utica is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank Utica's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank Utica Ny, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank Utica within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
25.51
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Bank Utica Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank Utica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Utica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Bank Utica Technical Analysis

Bank Utica's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank Utica Ny. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bank Utica Predictive Forecast Models

Bank Utica's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank Utica's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank Utica's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Bank Utica in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Bank Utica's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Bank Utica options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Bank Pink Sheet

Bank Utica financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank Utica security.