Companhia (Brazil) Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 119.00

CGAS5 Preferred Stock  BRL 119.00  0.95  0.80%   
Companhia's future price is the expected price of Companhia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Companhia de Gs performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Companhia Backtesting, Companhia Valuation, Companhia Correlation, Companhia Hype Analysis, Companhia Volatility, Companhia History as well as Companhia Performance.
  
Please specify Companhia's target price for which you would like Companhia odds to be computed.

Companhia Target Price Odds to finish over 119.00

The tendency of Companhia Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 119.00 90 days 119.00 
about 20.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Companhia to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 20.51 (This Companhia de Gs probability density function shows the probability of Companhia Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Companhia de Gs has a beta of -1.06 suggesting Additionally Companhia de Gs has an alpha of 0.323, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Companhia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Companhia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Companhia de Gs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Companhia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
114.76119.00123.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.49101.73130.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
113.00117.24121.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
110.01115.89121.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Companhia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Companhia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Companhia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Companhia de Gs.

Companhia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Companhia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Companhia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Companhia de Gs, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Companhia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.32
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-1.06
σ
Overall volatility
7.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Companhia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Companhia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Companhia de Gs can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Companhia de Gs had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Companhia de Gs has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 97.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Companhia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Companhia Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Companhia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Companhia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding103.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.4 B

Companhia Technical Analysis

Companhia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Companhia Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Companhia de Gs. In general, you should focus on analyzing Companhia Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Companhia Predictive Forecast Models

Companhia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Companhia's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Companhia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Companhia de Gs

Checking the ongoing alerts about Companhia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Companhia de Gs help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Companhia de Gs had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Companhia de Gs has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 97.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Companhia Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Companhia's price analysis, check to measure Companhia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Companhia is operating at the current time. Most of Companhia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Companhia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Companhia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Companhia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.