First Hawaiian Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.95
| FHB Stock | USD 19.95 0.11 0.55% |
Closest to current price First long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
First |
First Hawaiian Target Price Odds to finish over 19.95
The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 19.95 | 90 days | 19.95 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Hawaiian to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This First Hawaiian probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.35 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, First Hawaiian will likely underperform. Additionally First Hawaiian has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. First Hawaiian Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for First Hawaiian
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Hawaiian. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Hawaiian's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Hawaiian Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Hawaiian is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Hawaiian's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Hawaiian, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Hawaiian within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
First Hawaiian Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Hawaiian for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Hawaiian can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| First Hawaiian generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| First Hawaiian has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 31st of May 2024 First Hawaiian paid $ 0.26 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Rafferty Asset Management LLC Increases Holdings in First Hawaiian, Inc. - MarketBeat |
First Hawaiian Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Hawaiian's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Hawaiian's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 127.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -185 M |
First Hawaiian Technical Analysis
First Hawaiian's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First Hawaiian. In general, you should focus on analyzing First Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
First Hawaiian Predictive Forecast Models
First Hawaiian's time-series forecasting models is one of many First Hawaiian's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary First Hawaiian's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about First Hawaiian
Checking the ongoing alerts about First Hawaiian for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for First Hawaiian help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| First Hawaiian generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| First Hawaiian has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 31st of May 2024 First Hawaiian paid $ 0.26 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Rafferty Asset Management LLC Increases Holdings in First Hawaiian, Inc. - MarketBeat |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in First Stock
When determining whether First Hawaiian offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of First Hawaiian's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of First Hawaiian Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on First Hawaiian Stock:Check out First Hawaiian Backtesting, First Hawaiian Valuation, First Hawaiian Correlation, First Hawaiian Hype Analysis, First Hawaiian Volatility, First Hawaiian History as well as First Hawaiian Performance. For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Hawaiian. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Hawaiian listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | Dividend Share 1.04 | Earnings Share 1.74 | Revenue Per Share 6.271 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of First Hawaiian is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Hawaiian's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Hawaiian's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Hawaiian's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Hawaiian's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Hawaiian's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Hawaiian is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Hawaiian's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.