Ab Small Cap Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.57
| SCAVX Fund | USD 13.57 0.28 2.11% |
SCAVX |
Ab Small Target Price Odds to finish over 13.57
The tendency of SCAVX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 13.57 | 90 days | 13.57 | about 42.91 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ab Small to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 42.91 (This Ab Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of SCAVX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ab Small Cap has a beta of -0.12. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ab Small are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ab Small Cap is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ab Small Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Ab Small Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ab Small
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ab Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ab Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ab Small Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ab Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ab Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ab Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ab Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Ab Small Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ab Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ab Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -3.0% | |
| Ab Small Cap maintains 98.92% of its assets in stocks |
Ab Small Technical Analysis
Ab Small's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SCAVX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ab Small Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing SCAVX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ab Small Predictive Forecast Models
Ab Small's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ab Small's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ab Small's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ab Small Cap
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ab Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ab Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -3.0% | |
| Ab Small Cap maintains 98.92% of its assets in stocks |
Check out Ab Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Ab Small Correlation, Ab Small Hype Analysis, Ab Small Volatility, Ab Small History as well as Ab Small Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.