Swiss Re Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 27.26

SSREY Stock  USD 27.26  0.05  0.18%   
Swiss Re's future price is the expected price of Swiss Re instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Swiss Re performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Swiss Re Backtesting, Swiss Re Valuation, Swiss Re Correlation, Swiss Re Hype Analysis, Swiss Re Volatility, Swiss Re History as well as Swiss Re Performance.
  
Please specify Swiss Re's target price for which you would like Swiss Re odds to be computed.

Swiss Re Target Price Odds to finish over 27.26

The tendency of Swiss Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 27.26 90 days 27.26 
about 78.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swiss Re to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 78.5 (This Swiss Re probability density function shows the probability of Swiss Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Swiss Re has a beta of 0.28. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Swiss Re average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Swiss Re will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Swiss Re has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Swiss Re Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Swiss Re

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swiss Re. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Swiss Re's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.0727.2628.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.8128.0029.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.6028.8029.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.7828.1530.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Swiss Re. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Swiss Re's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Swiss Re's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Swiss Re.

Swiss Re Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swiss Re is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swiss Re's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Swiss Re, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swiss Re within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.0073
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.28
σ
Overall volatility
1.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Swiss Re Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Swiss Re for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Swiss Re can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 10.88 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.86, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Swiss Re has a current ratio of 0.39, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Swiss Re until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Swiss Re's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Swiss Re sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Swiss to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Swiss Re's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Swiss Re Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Swiss Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Swiss Re's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swiss Re's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments97.8 B

Swiss Re Technical Analysis

Swiss Re's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Swiss Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Swiss Re. In general, you should focus on analyzing Swiss Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Swiss Re Predictive Forecast Models

Swiss Re's time-series forecasting models is one of many Swiss Re's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Swiss Re's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Swiss Re

Checking the ongoing alerts about Swiss Re for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Swiss Re help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 10.88 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.86, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Swiss Re has a current ratio of 0.39, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Swiss Re until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Swiss Re's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Swiss Re sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Swiss to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Swiss Re's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Check out Swiss Re Backtesting, Swiss Re Valuation, Swiss Re Correlation, Swiss Re Hype Analysis, Swiss Re Volatility, Swiss Re History as well as Swiss Re Performance.
Note that the Swiss Re information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Swiss Re's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

Complementary Tools for Swiss Pink Sheet analysis

When running Swiss Re's price analysis, check to measure Swiss Re's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swiss Re is operating at the current time. Most of Swiss Re's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swiss Re's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swiss Re's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swiss Re to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Swiss Re's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Swiss Re is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Swiss Re's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.