TELES Informationstech (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.02
| TLIK Stock | 1.02 0.01 0.99% |
TELES |
TELES Informationstech Target Price Odds to finish over 1.02
The tendency of TELES Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.02 | 90 days | 1.02 | about 88.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TELES Informationstech to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.77 (This TELES Informationstechnologien AG probability density function shows the probability of TELES Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TELES Informationstech has a beta of 0.78. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TELES Informationstech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TELES Informationstechnologien AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TELES Informationstechnologien AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. TELES Informationstech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TELES Informationstech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TELES Informationstech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TELES Informationstech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
TELES Informationstech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TELES Informationstech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TELES Informationstech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TELES Informationstechnologien AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TELES Informationstech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
TELES Informationstech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TELES Informationstech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TELES Informationstech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TELES Informationstech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TELES Informationstech has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| TELES Informationstech has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| TELES Informationstech has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| TELES Informationstech generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
TELES Informationstech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TELES Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TELES Informationstech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TELES Informationstech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 391.2 K |
TELES Informationstech Technical Analysis
TELES Informationstech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TELES Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TELES Informationstechnologien AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing TELES Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TELES Informationstech Predictive Forecast Models
TELES Informationstech's time-series forecasting models is one of many TELES Informationstech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TELES Informationstech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TELES Informationstech
Checking the ongoing alerts about TELES Informationstech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TELES Informationstech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TELES Informationstech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TELES Informationstech has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| TELES Informationstech has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| TELES Informationstech has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| TELES Informationstech generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in TELES Stock
TELES Informationstech financial ratios help investors to determine whether TELES Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TELES with respect to the benefits of owning TELES Informationstech security.