Aethlon Medical Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AEMD Stock  USD 1.18  0.07  5.60%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aethlon Medical is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Aethlon Medical buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AEMD positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Aethlon Medical's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Aethlon Medical's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
1.11
Target Price
65
Hype Value
1.18
Market Value
1.18
Naive Value
1.18
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Aethlon Medical given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Aethlon Medical. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Aethlon Medical, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Aethlon Medical Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Aethlon Stock refer to our How to Trade Aethlon Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aethlon and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Aethlon Medical. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute Aethlon Medical Buy or Sell Advice

The Aethlon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aethlon Medical. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aethlon Medical or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aethlon Medical's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aethlon MedicalBuy Aethlon Medical
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Aethlon Medical has a Mean Deviation of 2.04, Standard Deviation of 2.66 and Variance of 7.06
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Aethlon Medical. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Aethlon Medical is not overpriced, please confirm all Aethlon Medical fundamentals, including its cash per share, short ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and current ratio . Given that Aethlon Medical is a hitting penny stock territory we recommend to closely look at its price to earning.

Aethlon Medical Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Aethlon Medical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aethlon Medical may become a speculative penny stock
Aethlon Medical has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 574.25 K. Net Loss for the year was (12.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 574.25 K.
Aethlon Medical currently holds about 14.92 M in cash with (10.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.65.
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Whats Going On With Medical Therapeutic Firm Aethlon Medical On Friday

Aethlon Medical Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aethlon Medical's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aethlon Medical's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aethlon Medical daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aethlon Medical price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aethlon Medical returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aethlon Medical.
Mean Return
-0.58
Value At Risk
-5.2
Potential Upside
3.01
Standard Deviation
2.66
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aethlon Medical historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aethlon Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Aethlon Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aethlon Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Aethlon Medical's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Aethlon Medical's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
21.2 K
Bartlett & Co. Llc2023-12-31
26.0
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
20.3 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
7.3 K
Group One Trading, Lp2023-12-31
1.3 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2023-12-31
1.1 K
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2023-12-31
299
Wells Fargo & Co2023-12-31
230
Cutler Group Lp2023-12-31
130
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
89.0
Ubs Group Ag2023-12-31
61.0
Note, although Aethlon Medical's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Aethlon Medical Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash5.8M303.5K7.3M(2.5M)(2.9M)(2.8M)
Free Cash Flow(5.3M)(6.8M)(10.1M)(11.4M)(10.3M)(9.8M)
Other Non Cash Items31.3K(2.5K)30.5K(46.6M)(41.9M)(39.8M)
Net Income(6.4M)(7.9M)(10.4M)(12.0M)(10.8M)(10.3M)
End Period Cash Flow9.6M9.9M17.2M14.6M16.8M17.7M
Depreciation26.4K39.9K123.7K240.9K216.8K165.4K
Change To Inventory(74.8K)8.5K(104.7K)456.6K411.0K431.5K
Change Receivables(74.8K)74.8K(206.7K)57.6K66.3K69.6K
Change To Netincome1.2M772.1K776.4K1.2M1.1M1.6M
Investments(151.7K)(59.9K)(349.2K)(943.1K)(848.8K)(806.4K)

Aethlon Medical Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aethlon Medical or Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aethlon Medical's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aethlon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.56
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.31
σ
Overall volatility
2.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Aethlon Medical Volatility Alert

Aethlon Medical exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.65 and kurtosis of 0.78. Aethlon Medical is a potential penny stock. Although Aethlon Medical may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Aethlon Medical. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Aethlon instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Aethlon Medical Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aethlon Medical's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aethlon Medical's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aethlon Medical and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aethlon Medical or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aethlon Medical's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aethlon Medical by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aethlon Medical to competition
FundamentalsAethlon MedicalPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.98-0.31
Return On Asset-0.47-0.14
Operating Margin(20.47) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation(3.87 M)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2.63 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders6.43 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions1.98 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted69.7 K4.71 M
Price To Earning(1.14) X28.72 X
Price To Book0.52 X9.51 X
Price To Sales6.91 X11.42 X
Revenue574.25 K9.43 B
Gross Profit574.25 K27.38 B
EBITDA(11.76 M)3.9 B
Net Income(12.03 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents14.92 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.65 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.21 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.05 %48.70 %
Current Ratio9.66 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.93 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(10.51 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio8.70 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(5.01) X3.12 X
Target Price25.0
Number Of Employees1518.84 K
Beta1.97-0.15
Market Capitalization3.1 M19.03 B
Total Asset17.51 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(142.36 M)9.33 B
Working Capital13.59 M1.48 B
Current Asset817 K9.34 B
Current Liabilities1.08 M7.9 B
Note: Acquisition by Gikakis Nicolas of 32894 shares of Aethlon Medical at 1.52 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Aethlon Medical Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aethlon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Aethlon Medical Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aethlon Medical? Buying financial instruments such as Aethlon Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Other Current Liabilities852.6K588.6K676.9K643.0K
Total Assets19.4M17.5M20.1M21.1M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Aethlon Medical in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Books Thematic Idea Now

Books
Books Theme
Companies involved in publishing of books, newspapers, periodicals and other mass publications. The Books theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Books Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Aethlon Medical is a strong investment it is important to analyze Aethlon Medical's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Aethlon Medical's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Aethlon Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Aethlon Medical Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Aethlon Stock refer to our How to Trade Aethlon Stock guide.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

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Is Aethlon Medical's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aethlon Medical. If investors know Aethlon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aethlon Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(5.01)
Revenue Per Share
0.236
Quarterly Revenue Growth
42.782
Return On Assets
(0.47)
Return On Equity
(0.98)
The market value of Aethlon Medical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aethlon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aethlon Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aethlon Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aethlon Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aethlon Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aethlon Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aethlon Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aethlon Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.