Commercial Vehicle Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
CVGI Stock | USD 5.81 0.21 3.75% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Commercial Vehicle Group is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Commercial Vehicle buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CVGI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Commercial Vehicle's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Commercial Vehicle's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 7.19 | Target Price 12.5 | Hype Value 5.64 | Market Value 5.81 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Commercial Vehicle Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Commercial Vehicle. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Commercial Vehicle Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Commercial |
Execute Commercial Vehicle Buy or Sell Advice
The Commercial recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Commercial Vehicle Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Commercial Vehicle Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Commercial Vehicle's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves slightly opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Commercial Vehicle Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Commercial Vehicle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Commercial Vehicle has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Over 78.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
Latest headline from investing.com: Commercial Vehicle Group shares maintain Outperform on tough market condition |
Commercial Vehicle Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Commercial Vehicle's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Commercial Vehicle's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Commercial Vehicle daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Commercial Vehicle Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Commercial Vehicle returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Commercial Vehicle.
Mean Return | -0.21 | Value At Risk | -5.38 | Potential Upside | 3.37 | Standard Deviation | 2.43 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Commercial Vehicle historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Commercial Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Commercial Vehicle is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Commercial Vehicle Group backward and forwards among themselves. Commercial Vehicle's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Commercial Vehicle's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | American Century Companies Inc | 2023-12-31 | 535.1 K | Ironwood Investment Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 497 K | Hillsdale Investment Management Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 455.3 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 452.8 K | Franklin Resources Inc | 2023-12-31 | 426.6 K | Rbf Llc | 2023-12-31 | 400.1 K | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2023-12-31 | 392.7 K | D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2023-09-30 | 361.5 K | Black Diamond Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 350 K | Forager Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 3.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.4 M |
Commercial Vehicle Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change In Cash | (31.4M) | 11.0M | (15.5M) | (3.1M) | 6.0M | 6.3M | |
Free Cash Flow | 12.7M | 27.2M | (47.5M) | 49.2M | 18.6M | 10.7M | |
Depreciation | 15.5M | 18.5M | 18.5M | 18.2M | 17.6M | 15.9M | |
Other Non Cash Items | 10.2M | 36.7M | 9.6M | 14.3M | 2.7M | 2.6M | |
Capital Expenditures | 24.0M | 7.1M | 17.7M | 19.7M | 19.7M | 14.8M | |
Net Income | 15.8M | (37.0M) | 23.7M | (22.0M) | 49.4M | 51.9M | |
End Period Cash Flow | 39.5M | 50.5M | 35.0M | 31.8M | 37.8M | 47.0M | |
Change To Inventory | 9.5M | (6.8M) | (50.3M) | (3.7M) | 15M | 15.8M | |
Change Receivables | (35.7M) | 12.0M | (23.6M) | 19.2M | 22.0M | 23.2M | |
Net Borrowings | (8.7M) | (14.4M) | 190.3M | (43.8M) | (50.4M) | (47.8M) | |
Change To Netincome | 13.2M | 26.1M | 17.0M | 19.2M | 22.0M | 11.3M | |
Investments | (58.0M) | (6.4M) | (17.6M) | (19.7M) | (22.4M) | (23.5M) |
Commercial Vehicle Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Commercial Vehicle or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Commercial Vehicle's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Commercial stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Commercial Vehicle Volatility Alert
Commercial Vehicle Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.95 and kurtosis of 1.87. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Commercial Vehicle's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Commercial Vehicle's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Commercial Vehicle Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Commercial Vehicle's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Commercial Vehicle's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Commercial Vehicle and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Commercial Vehicle or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Commercial Vehicle's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Commercial Vehicle by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Commercial Vehicle to competition |
Fundamentals | Commercial Vehicle | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 0.28 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | 0.0536 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | 0.04 % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 320.87 M | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 34.38 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 6.65 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 77.79 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 335.18 K | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 13.57 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 1.23 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 0.21 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 994.68 M | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 86.5 M | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | 73.31 M | 3.9 B |
Net Income | 49.41 M | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 28.5 M | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 0.85 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 173.65 M | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 1.77 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 2.16 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 5.63 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 38.28 M | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 3.08 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | 1.47 X | 3.12 X |
Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.35 X | 4.89 X |
Target Price | 11.0 | |
Number Of Employees | 7.7 K | 18.84 K |
Beta | 2.71 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 192.52 M | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 483.21 M | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | (46.18 M) | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 182.55 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Chung Cheung of 57297 shares of Commercial Vehicle subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Commercial Vehicle Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Commercial . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution | 6501.57 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | 0.7241 | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
Day Median Price | 5.74 | |||
Day Typical Price | 5.76 | |||
Price Action Indicator | 0.18 | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | 0.21 |
About Commercial Vehicle Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Commercial Vehicle Group? Buying financial instruments such as Commercial Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Stockholder Equity | 126.7M | 120.0M | 172.9M | 102.9M | Total Assets | 507.7M | 470.3M | 483.2M | 445.5M |
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Check out Commercial Vehicle Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Commercial Vehicle information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Commercial Vehicle's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
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When running Commercial Vehicle's price analysis, check to measure Commercial Vehicle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Commercial Vehicle is operating at the current time. Most of Commercial Vehicle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Commercial Vehicle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Commercial Vehicle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Commercial Vehicle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Commercial Vehicle's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Commercial Vehicle. If investors know Commercial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Commercial Vehicle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.66) | Earnings Share 1.47 | Revenue Per Share 29.077 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) | Return On Assets 0.0536 |
The market value of Commercial Vehicle is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Commercial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Commercial Vehicle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Commercial Vehicle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Commercial Vehicle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Commercial Vehicle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Commercial Vehicle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Commercial Vehicle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Commercial Vehicle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.