Pt Gudang Garam Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GGNPF Stock  USD 1.13  0.18  13.74%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding PT Gudang Garam is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides PT Gudang buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GGNPF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of PT Gudang's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting PT Gudang's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
1.17
Hype Value
1.13
Market Value
1.13
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell PT Gudang Garam given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards PT Gudang. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for PT Gudang Garam, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out PT Gudang Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as GGNPF and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards PT Gudang Garam. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute PT Gudang Buy or Sell Advice

The GGNPF recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on PT Gudang Garam. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in PT Gudang Garam or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute PT Gudang's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell PT GudangBuy PT Gudang
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

RiskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon PT Gudang Garam has a Mean Deviation of 0.4101, Standard Deviation of 1.69 and Variance of 2.86
We provide trade recommendation to complement the latest expert consensus on PT Gudang Garam. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at this time. To make sure PT Gudang Garam is not overpriced, please check all PT Gudang Garam fundamentals, including its ebitda, cash flow from operations, and the relationship between the price to book and total debt . Given that PT Gudang Garam is a hitting penny stock territory we advise to closely look at its price to book.

PT Gudang Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

PT Gudang Garam generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PT Gudang Garam may become a speculative penny stock
About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

PT Gudang Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of PT Gudang's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of PT Gudang's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of PT Gudang daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use PT Gudang Garam price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of PT Gudang returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for PT Gudang.
Mean Return
-0.21
Value At Risk
0.00
Potential Upside
0.00
Standard Deviation
1.69
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of PT Gudang historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

PT Gudang Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to PT Gudang or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that PT Gudang's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a GGNPF pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.23
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.13
σ
Overall volatility
1.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

PT Gudang Volatility Alert

PT Gudang Garam exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -8.12 and kurtosis of 66.0. PT Gudang Garam is a potential penny stock. Although PT Gudang may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny pink sheets are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in PT Gudang Garam. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on GGNPF instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

PT Gudang Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing PT Gudang's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze PT Gudang's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between PT Gudang and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as PT Gudang or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of PT Gudang's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PT Gudang by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare PT Gudang to competition
FundamentalsPT GudangPeer Average
Return On Equity0.052-0.31
Return On Asset0.0312-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Current Valuation2.18 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.92 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders76.27 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions2.57 %39.21 %
Price To Earning5.39 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.85 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.38 X11.42 X
Revenue124.88 T9.43 B
Gross Profit14.11 T27.38 B
EBITDA8.13 T3.9 B
Net Income5.61 T570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents186.39 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.10 X5.01 X
Total Debt122.67 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.14 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.04 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.56 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations5.33 T971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.10 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees32.12 K18.84 K
Beta0.5-0.15
Market Capitalization3.41 B19.03 B
Total Asset89.96 T29.47 B
Retained Earnings36.5 T9.33 B
Working Capital18.12 T1.48 B
Current Asset41.75 T9.34 B
Current Liabilities23.63 T7.9 B
Z Score1.08.72
Annual Yield0.0001 %
Net Asset89.96 T

PT Gudang Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as GGNPF . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About PT Gudang Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell PT Gudang Garam? Buying financial instruments such as GGNPF Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having PT Gudang in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Banks Thematic Idea Now

Banks
Banks Theme
Large and small money and credit banks and credit services. The Banks theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Banks Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out PT Gudang Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between PT Gudang's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PT Gudang is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PT Gudang's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.