Thornburg E Growth Fund Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| TCGCX Fund | USD 19.90 0.38 1.87% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Thornburg E Growth is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Thornburg buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding TCGCX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Thornburg's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Thornburg's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 19.99 | Hype Value 19.9 | Market Value 19.9 | Naive Value 20.32 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Thornburg E Growth given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Thornburg. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Thornburg E Growth, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Thornburg |
Execute Thornburg Buy or Sell Advice
The Thornburg recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Thornburg E Growth. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Thornburg E Growth or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Thornburg's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details |
Thornburg Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The fund generated three year return of -9.0% | |
| Thornburg E Growth maintains 98.55% of its assets in stocks |
Thornburg Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Thornburg's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Thornburg's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Thornburg daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Thornburg E Growth price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Thornburg returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Thornburg.
| Mean Return | 0.08 | Value At Risk | -1.87 | Potential Upside | 1.81 | Standard Deviation | 1.11 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Thornburg historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Thornburg Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Thornburg or Thornburg sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Thornburg's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Thornburg fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0005 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Thornburg Volatility Alert
Thornburg E Growth has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.11 and kurtosis of -0.59. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Thornburg's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Thornburg's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Thornburg Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Thornburg's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Thornburg's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Thornburg and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Thornburg or determine the mutual funds which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Thornburg's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Thornburg by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Thornburg to competition |
| Fundamentals | Thornburg | Peer Average |
| Price To Earning | 0.80 X | 6.53 X |
| Price To Book | 3.73 X | 0.74 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.37 X | 0.61 X |
| Year To Date Return | 7.84 % | 0.39 % |
| One Year Return | 22.69 % | 4.15 % |
| Three Year Return | (8.74) % | 3.60 % |
| Five Year Return | 2.74 % | 3.24 % |
| Ten Year Return | 12.37 % | 1.79 % |
| Net Asset | 293.93 M | 4.11 B |
| Cash Position Weight | 1.45 % | 10.61 % |
| Equity Positions Weight | 98.55 % | 63.90 % |
Thornburg Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Thornburg . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 19.9 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 19.9 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.19) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.38) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 35.18 |
About Thornburg Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Thornburg E Growth? Buying financial instruments such as Thornburg Mutual Fund isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Thornburg Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Thornburg E Growth information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Thornburg's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..