Travel Leisure Co Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| TNL Stock | USD 44.15 1.25 2.91% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Travel Leisure Co is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Travel Leisure buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding TNL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Travel Leisure's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Travel Leisure's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 47.77 | Target Price 50.5 | Hype Value 44.15 | Market Value 44.15 | Naive Value 41.43 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Travel Leisure Co given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Travel Leisure. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Travel Leisure Co, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Travel |
Execute Travel Leisure Buy or Sell Advice
The Travel recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Travel Leisure Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Travel Leisure Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Travel Leisure's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Travel Leisure Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 29th of March 2024 Travel Leisure paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Unpacking Q1 Earnings Wyndham In The Context Of Other Hotels, Resorts and Cruise Lines Stocks - Barchart |
Travel Leisure Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Travel Leisure's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Travel Leisure's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Travel Leisure daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Travel Leisure Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Travel Leisure returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Travel Leisure.
| Mean Return | -0.0068 | Value At Risk | -2.3 | Potential Upside | 2.07 | Standard Deviation | 1.42 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Travel Leisure historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Travel Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Travel Leisure is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Travel Leisure Co backward and forwards among themselves. Travel Leisure's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Travel Leisure's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 979.1 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 973.2 K | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2023-12-31 | 949.6 K | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 894.5 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 862 K | Macquarie Group Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 817 K | Solel Partners Lp | 2024-03-31 | 787.3 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 749.8 K | Deprince Race & Zollo Inc | 2024-03-31 | 653.5 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-03-31 | 10.6 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 8.6 M |
Travel Leisure Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 13M | (119M) | (6M) | 31M | 25M | 26.3M | |
| Change In Cash | 98M | 815M | (820M) | 191M | (230M) | (218.5M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 344M | 305M | 511M | 390M | 276M | 504.9M | |
| Depreciation | 121M | 126M | 124M | 119M | 112M | 136.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 507M | 504M | 164M | 355M | 35M | 33.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | 166M | 138M | 109M | 135M | 136M | 155.3M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 108M | 69M | 57M | 52M | 74M | 124.3M | |
| Net Income | 489M | (253M) | 313M | 356M | 391M | 356.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 502M | 1.3B | 497M | 688M | 458M | 358.6M | |
| Investments | (66M) | (65M) | (93M) | (50M) | (62M) | (65.1M) | |
| Change Receivables | (27M) | (15M) | 30M | (28M) | (32.2M) | (33.8M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 583M | 447M | 162M | 395M | 355.5M | 350.5M |
Travel Leisure Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Travel Leisure or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Travel Leisure's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Travel stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Travel Leisure Volatility Alert
Travel Leisure Co exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.38 and kurtosis of 0.37. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Travel Leisure's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Travel Leisure's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Travel Leisure Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Travel Leisure's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Travel Leisure's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Travel Leisure and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Travel Leisure or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Travel Leisure's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Travel Leisure by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Travel Leisure to competition |
| Fundamentals | Travel Leisure | Peer Average |
| Return On Asset | 0.0702 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.11 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.16 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 8.67 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 71.26 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.36 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 90.70 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.49 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 16.09 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.84 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.75 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.73 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 876 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 391 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 550 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.87 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 5.73 B | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 2.80 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (12.99) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 350 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.69 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 5.32 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.46 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 54.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 19 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.65 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.15 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 6.74 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.07 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 3.59 B | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.05 % | |
| Five Year Return | 3.73 % | |
| Net Asset | 6.74 B |
Note: Disposition of 6000 shares by James Savina of Travel Leisure at 47.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Travel Leisure Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Travel . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Travel Leisure Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Travel Leisure Co? Buying financial instruments such as Travel Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 5.4B | 5.8B | 5.7B | 5.0B | Total Liabilities | 7.4B | 7.7B | 7.7B | 7.3B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Travel Leisure in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Adviser Favorites Thematic Idea Now
Adviser Favorites
Financial advisors frequently recommend that individuals diversify their investment portfolios with a mix of different types of stocks. These can include blue-chip stocks, growth stocks, and dividend stocks. The Adviser Favorites theme has 17 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Adviser Favorites Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Travel Leisure Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Complementary Tools for Travel Stock analysis
When running Travel Leisure's price analysis, check to measure Travel Leisure's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Travel Leisure is operating at the current time. Most of Travel Leisure's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Travel Leisure's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Travel Leisure's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Travel Leisure to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Travel Leisure's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Travel Leisure. If investors know Travel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Travel Leisure listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.118 | Dividend Share 1.85 | Earnings Share 5.32 | Revenue Per Share 51.877 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.042 |
The market value of Travel Leisure is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Travel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Travel Leisure's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Travel Leisure's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Travel Leisure's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Travel Leisure's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Travel Leisure's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Travel Leisure is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Travel Leisure's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.