Vince Holding Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VNCE Stock | USD 1.77 0.11 6.63% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vince Holding Corp is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Vince Holding buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VNCE positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Vince Holding's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Vince Holding's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 3.31 | Target Price 8 | Hype Value 1.65 | Market Value 1.77 | Naive Value 1.42 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vince Holding Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Vince Holding. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vince Holding Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Vince |
Execute Vince Holding Buy or Sell Advice
The Vince recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vince Holding Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vince Holding Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vince Holding's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Unstable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Vince Holding Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Vince Holding Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vince Holding Corp may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Vince Holding Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Vince Holding Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Vince Holding Corp currently holds about 1.07 M in cash with (1.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09. | |
| Vince Holding Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from accesswire.com: Sidoti Events, LLCs Virtual May Micro-Cap Conference |
Vince Holding Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Vince Holding's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vince Holding's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vince Holding daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vince Holding Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vince Holding returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vince Holding.
| Mean Return | -1.13 | Value At Risk | -9.25 | Potential Upside | 2.98 | Standard Deviation | 3.89 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vince Holding historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Vince Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Vince Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vince Holding Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Vince Holding's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Vince Holding's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 10.1 K | Tower Research Capital Llc | 2023-12-31 | 4.3 K | Advisor Group Holdings, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 K | Wells Fargo & Co | 2023-12-31 | 1.2 K | Ubs Group Ag | 2023-12-31 | 1 K | Westside Investment Management, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 700 | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 21.0 | Coppell Advisory Solutions Llc | 2023-12-31 | 14.0 | Bnp Paribas Arbitrage, Sa | 2023-12-31 | 13.0 | Fund 1 Investments Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.2 M | Shay Capital Llc | 2023-12-31 | 174.8 K |
Vince Holding Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vince Holding or Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vince Holding's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vince stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -1.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.31 |
Vince Holding Volatility Alert
Vince Holding Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.43 and kurtosis of 2.44. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vince Holding's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vince Holding's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Vince Holding Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Vince Holding's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vince Holding's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vince Holding and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vince Holding or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vince Holding's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vince Holding by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Vince Holding to competition |
| Fundamentals | Vince Holding | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.76 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0028 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.02) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 148.48 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 12.51 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.51 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 83.33 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 23.07 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 2.23 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.72 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.12 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 292.89 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 137.97 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 8.69 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 25.45 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.07 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.09 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 128.46 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 6.22 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.31 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 3.77 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (1.7 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.77 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.04 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 10.0 | |
| Beta | 1.83 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 20.39 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 255.14 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.1 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 23.37 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 60.23 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 71.65 M | 7.9 B |
Note: Acquisition by Szczepanski John of 50000 shares of Vince Holding subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Vince Holding Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vince . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.07 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.77 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.77 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.055 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.11 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 17.07 |
About Vince Holding Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Vince Holding Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Vince Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 208.6M | 204.6M | 128.5M | 198.7M | Total Assets | 337.2M | 303.3M | 255.1M | 269.0M |
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Check out Vince Holding Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Vince Holding Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vince Holding's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
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When running Vince Holding's price analysis, check to measure Vince Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vince Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Vince Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vince Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vince Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vince Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Vince Holding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vince Holding. If investors know Vince will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vince Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.57) | Earnings Share 2.04 | Revenue Per Share 23.539 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) | Return On Assets (0) |
The market value of Vince Holding Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vince that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vince Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vince Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vince Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vince Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vince Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vince Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vince Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.