Correlation Between ARMOUR Residential and Orchid Island

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ARMOUR Residential and Orchid Island at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ARMOUR Residential and Orchid Island into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ARMOUR Residential REIT and Orchid Island Capital, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ARMOUR Residential and Orchid Island and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ARMOUR Residential with a short position of Orchid Island. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ARMOUR Residential and Orchid Island.

Diversification Opportunities for ARMOUR Residential and Orchid Island

0.83
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between ARMOUR and Orchid is 0.83. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ARMOUR Residential REIT and Orchid Island Capital in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Orchid Island Capital and ARMOUR Residential is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ARMOUR Residential REIT are associated (or correlated) with Orchid Island. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Orchid Island Capital has no effect on the direction of ARMOUR Residential i.e., ARMOUR Residential and Orchid Island go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ARMOUR Residential and Orchid Island

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ARMOUR Residential REIT is expected to generate 1.09 times more return on investment than Orchid Island. However, ARMOUR Residential is 1.09 times more volatile than Orchid Island Capital. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Orchid Island Capital is currently generating about 0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,825  in ARMOUR Residential REIT on March 14, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  77.00  from holding ARMOUR Residential REIT or generate 4.22% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ARMOUR Residential REIT  vs.  Orchid Island Capital

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ARMOUR Residential REIT 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ARMOUR Residential REIT are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, ARMOUR Residential is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.
Orchid Island Capital 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Orchid Island Capital has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Orchid Island is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

ARMOUR Residential and Orchid Island Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ARMOUR Residential and Orchid Island

The main advantage of trading using opposite ARMOUR Residential and Orchid Island positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ARMOUR Residential position performs unexpectedly, Orchid Island can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Orchid Island will offset losses from the drop in Orchid Island's long position.
The idea behind ARMOUR Residential REIT and Orchid Island Capital pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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