Correlation Between Potbelly and Churchill Downs

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Potbelly and Churchill Downs at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Potbelly and Churchill Downs into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Potbelly Co and Churchill Downs Incorporated, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Potbelly and Churchill Downs and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Potbelly with a short position of Churchill Downs. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Potbelly and Churchill Downs.

Diversification Opportunities for Potbelly and Churchill Downs

-0.74
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Potbelly and Churchill is -0.74. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Potbelly Co and Churchill Downs Incorporated in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Churchill Downs and Potbelly is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Potbelly Co are associated (or correlated) with Churchill Downs. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Churchill Downs has no effect on the direction of Potbelly i.e., Potbelly and Churchill Downs go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Potbelly and Churchill Downs

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Potbelly Co is expected to under-perform the Churchill Downs. In addition to that, Potbelly is 1.44 times more volatile than Churchill Downs Incorporated. It trades about -0.26 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Churchill Downs Incorporated is currently generating about 0.12 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  11,986  in Churchill Downs Incorporated on February 22, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,561  from holding Churchill Downs Incorporated or generate 13.02% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy98.44%
ValuesDaily Returns

Potbelly Co  vs.  Churchill Downs Incorporated

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Potbelly 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Potbelly Co has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in June 2024. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.
Churchill Downs 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Churchill Downs Incorporated are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very abnormal fundamental indicators, Churchill Downs displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Potbelly and Churchill Downs Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Potbelly and Churchill Downs

The main advantage of trading using opposite Potbelly and Churchill Downs positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Potbelly position performs unexpectedly, Churchill Downs can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Churchill Downs will offset losses from the drop in Churchill Downs' long position.
The idea behind Potbelly Co and Churchill Downs Incorporated pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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