Correlation Between UBS ETRACS and IShares GSCI

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both UBS ETRACS and IShares GSCI at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining UBS ETRACS and IShares GSCI into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between UBS ETRACS and iShares GSCI Commodity, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on UBS ETRACS and IShares GSCI and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in UBS ETRACS with a short position of IShares GSCI. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of UBS ETRACS and IShares GSCI.

Diversification Opportunities for UBS ETRACS and IShares GSCI

-0.97

Correlation Coefficient

UBS ETRACS  IShares GSCI

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between UBS and IShares is -0.97. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding UBS ETRACS and iShares GSCI Commodity in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on iShares GSCI Commodity and UBS ETRACS is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on UBS ETRACS are associated (or correlated) with IShares GSCI. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of iShares GSCI Commodity has no effect on the direction of UBS ETRACS i.e., UBS ETRACS and IShares GSCI go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between UBS ETRACS and IShares GSCI

Given the investment horizon of 90 days UBS ETRACS is expected to under-perform the IShares GSCI. In addition to that, UBS ETRACS is 4.15 times more volatile than iShares GSCI Commodity. It trades about -0.19 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. iShares GSCI Commodity is currently generating about 0.17 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,565  in iShares GSCI Commodity on February 20, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  186.00  from holding iShares GSCI Commodity or generate 7.25% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

UBS ETRACS   vs.  iShares GSCI Commodity

UBS ETRACS

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days UBS ETRACS has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of conflicting performance in the last few months, the Etf's forward indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in June 2024. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the fund shareholders.

iShares GSCI Commodity

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in iShares GSCI Commodity are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak primary indicators, IShares GSCI may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in June 2024.

Pair Trading with UBS ETRACS and IShares GSCI

The main advantage of trading using opposite UBS ETRACS and IShares GSCI positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if UBS ETRACS position performs unexpectedly, IShares GSCI can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in IShares GSCI will offset losses from the drop in IShares GSCI's long position.

The idea behind UBS ETRACS and iShares GSCI Commodity pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.