Gen Digital Stock Price Prediction
| GEN Stock | USD 25.46 0.64 2.58% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
72
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.85) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.53 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.95 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.22 | Wall Street Target Price 26.7 |
Using Gen Digital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gen Digital from the perspective of Gen Digital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gen Digital using Gen Digital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gen using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gen Digital's stock price.
Gen Digital Short Interest
An investor who is long Gen Digital may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Gen Digital and may potentially protect profits, hedge Gen Digital with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 21.0648 | Short Percent 0.0413 | Short Ratio 4.12 | Shares Short Prior Month 18.9 M | 50 Day MA 22.2784 |
Gen Digital Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Gen Digital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gen. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gen can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gen Digital. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gen Digital's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gen Digital.
Gen Digital Implied Volatility | 23.91 |
Gen Digital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gen Digital stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gen Digital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gen Digital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gen Digital's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gen Digital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gen Digital after-hype prediction price | USD 25.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Gen contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Gen Digital will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.49% per day over the life of the 2024-06-21 option contract. With Gen Digital trading at USD 25.46, that is roughly USD 0.38 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Gen Digital's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Gen Digital options at the current volatility level of 23.91%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gen Digital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gen Digital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gen Digital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gen Digital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gen Digital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gen Digital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gen Digital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gen Digital's historical news coverage. Gen Digital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.02 and 27.90, respectively. We have considered Gen Digital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gen Digital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gen Digital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gen Digital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gen Digital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gen Digital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gen Digital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 2.46 | 0.05 | 0.21 | 11 Events / Month | 16 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.46 | 25.46 | 0.00 |
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Gen Digital Hype Timeline
On the 6th of June Gen Digital is traded for 25.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.21. Gen is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gen Digital is about 311.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.25. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 17th of May 2024. Gen Digital had 2:1 split on the 1st of December 2004. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Gen Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gen Digital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gen Digital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gen Digital's future price movements. Getting to know how Gen Digital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gen Digital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Gen Digital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gen Digital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gen Digital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gen Digital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gen Digital based on analysis of Gen Digital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gen Digital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gen Digital's related companies. | 2010 | 2024 (projected) | null | 0.0226 | 0.0298 | null | 3.74 | 3.16 |
Story Coverage note for Gen Digital
The number of cover stories for Gen Digital depends on current market conditions and Gen Digital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gen Digital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gen Digital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gen Digital Short Properties
Gen Digital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gen Digital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gen Digital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gen Digital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gen Digital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 642 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 846 M |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Gen Stock
When determining whether Gen Digital offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gen Digital's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gen Digital Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gen Digital Stock:Check out Gen Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Gen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Gen Digital guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gen Digital. If investors know Gen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gen Digital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.85) | Dividend Share 0.5 | Earnings Share 0.96 | Revenue Per Share 5.984 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.021 |
The market value of Gen Digital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gen Digital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gen Digital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gen Digital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gen Digital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gen Digital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gen Digital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gen Digital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.