Toll Brothers Stock Z Score

TOL Stock

USD 123.63 2.39 1.97%

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out Toll Brothers Piotroski F Score and Toll Brothers Valuation analysis.

For more information on how to buy Toll Stock please use our How to buy in Toll Stock guide.

At this time, Toll Brothers' Additional Paid In Capital is quite stable compared to the past year. Capital Stock is expected to rise to about 1.1 M this year, although the value of Net Invested Capital will most likely fall to about 9.7 B. At this time, Toll Brothers' EBIT is quite stable compared to the past year. EBITDA is expected to rise to about 2.2 B this year, although the value of Tax Provision will most likely fall to about 285.5 M.

Toll Brothers Company Z Score Analysis

Toll Brothers' Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Toll Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Toll Brothers is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Toll Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Toll Brothers' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Toll Brothers' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Toll Brothers' interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Total Liab	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Current Assets	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Treasury Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Short Term Debt	Current Deferred Revenue	Short Term Investments	Net Tangible Assets	Total Permanent Equity	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.98	0.36	0.97	0.97	0.92	0.85	1.0	0.31	0.44	-0.7	0.88	-0.61	0.72	0.4	0.82	0.79	0.36	0.82	0.4	-0.69	0.73	0.75	0.76	-0.74
Total Stockholder Equity	0.98		0.2	0.99	0.91	0.94	0.8	0.97	0.21	0.45	-0.68	0.93	-0.59	0.71	0.44	0.84	0.76	0.4	0.74	0.52	-0.69	0.72	0.82	0.81	-0.82
Net Debt	0.36	0.2		0.17	0.53	0.03	0.26	0.38	0.81	-0.19	-0.17	-0.06	-0.29	0.03	-0.33	0.15	0.17	-0.33	0.65	-0.6	0.0	-0.06	-0.18	-0.15	0.27
Retained Earnings	0.97	0.99	0.17		0.9	0.95	0.84	0.97	0.16	0.46	-0.77	0.93	-0.55	0.75	0.45	0.85	0.82	0.42	0.73	0.54	-0.76	0.76	0.84	0.82	-0.82
Total Liab	0.97	0.91	0.53	0.9		0.85	0.86	0.98	0.41	0.4	-0.69	0.77	-0.6	0.7	0.32	0.75	0.78	0.3	0.87	0.24	-0.66	0.69	0.63	0.67	-0.62
Accounts Payable	0.92	0.94	0.03	0.95	0.85		0.85	0.92	-0.07	0.57	-0.73	0.93	-0.45	0.87	0.52	0.87	0.82	0.56	0.69	0.61	-0.77	0.86	0.88	0.88	-0.92
Net Receivables	0.85	0.8	0.26	0.84	0.86	0.85		0.87	0.04	0.54	-0.82	0.81	-0.35	0.81	0.49	0.75	0.93	0.49	0.73	0.4	-0.83	0.84	0.73	0.76	-0.71
Total Current Assets	1.0	0.97	0.38	0.97	0.98	0.92	0.87		0.3	0.42	-0.72	0.87	-0.58	0.74	0.38	0.82	0.82	0.35	0.84	0.37	-0.72	0.74	0.75	0.76	-0.73
Common Stock	0.31	0.21	0.81	0.16	0.41	-0.07	0.04	0.3		-0.23	-0.02	-0.06	-0.51	-0.24	-0.31	-0.07	-0.01	-0.4	0.35	-0.42	0.11	-0.25	-0.28	-0.24	0.36
Long Term Debt	0.44	0.45	-0.19	0.46	0.4	0.57	0.54	0.42	-0.23		-0.34	0.59	-0.51	0.62	0.73	0.53	0.35	0.98	0.12	0.73	-0.44	0.68	0.59	0.56	-0.67
Treasury Stock	-0.7	-0.68	-0.17	-0.77	-0.69	-0.73	-0.82	-0.72	-0.02	-0.34		-0.64	0.23	-0.73	-0.27	-0.71	-0.87	-0.32	-0.65	-0.33	0.83	-0.7	-0.64	-0.61	0.55
Property Plant Equipment	0.88	0.93	-0.06	0.93	0.77	0.93	0.81	0.87	-0.06	0.59	-0.64		-0.48	0.72	0.56	0.81	0.75	0.59	0.57	0.7	-0.72	0.8	0.9	0.89	-0.92
Short Term Debt	-0.61	-0.59	-0.29	-0.55	-0.6	-0.45	-0.35	-0.58	-0.51	-0.51	0.23	-0.48		-0.24	-0.54	-0.39	-0.2	-0.38	-0.29	-0.35	0.31	-0.42	-0.38	-0.4	0.37
Current Deferred Revenue	0.72	0.71	0.03	0.75	0.7	0.87	0.81	0.74	-0.24	0.62	-0.73	0.72	-0.24		0.47	0.86	0.8	0.62	0.65	0.46	-0.81	0.89	0.78	0.77	-0.82
Short Term Investments	0.4	0.44	-0.33	0.45	0.32	0.52	0.49	0.38	-0.31	0.73	-0.27	0.56	-0.54	0.47		0.44	0.39	0.72	0.02	0.76	-0.5	0.67	0.62	0.62	-0.68
Net Tangible Assets	0.82	0.84	0.15	0.85	0.75	0.87	0.75	0.82	-0.07	0.53	-0.71	0.81	-0.39	0.86	0.44		0.75	0.54	0.75	0.46	-0.72	0.8	0.89	0.82	-0.84
Total Permanent Equity	0.79	0.76	0.17	0.82	0.78	0.82	0.93	0.82	-0.01	0.35	-0.87	0.75	-0.2	0.8	0.39	0.75		0.33	0.7	0.37	-0.87	0.79	0.71	0.74	-0.67
Long Term Debt Total	0.36	0.4	-0.33	0.42	0.3	0.56	0.49	0.35	-0.4	0.98	-0.32	0.59	-0.38	0.62	0.72	0.54	0.33		0.06	0.78	-0.42	0.67	0.64	0.59	-0.71
Capital Surpluse	0.82	0.74	0.65	0.73	0.87	0.69	0.73	0.84	0.35	0.12	-0.65	0.57	-0.29	0.65	0.02	0.75	0.7	0.06		-0.09	-0.56	0.55	0.52	0.53	-0.46
Long Term Investments	0.4	0.52	-0.6	0.54	0.24	0.61	0.4	0.37	-0.42	0.73	-0.33	0.7	-0.35	0.46	0.76	0.46	0.37	0.78	-0.09		-0.39	0.54	0.71	0.65	-0.78
Short Long Term Debt	-0.69	-0.69	0.0	-0.76	-0.66	-0.77	-0.83	-0.72	0.11	-0.44	0.83	-0.72	0.31	-0.81	-0.5	-0.72	-0.87	-0.42	-0.56	-0.39		-0.86	-0.72	-0.76	0.68
Cash And Equivalents	0.73	0.72	-0.06	0.76	0.69	0.86	0.84	0.74	-0.25	0.68	-0.7	0.8	-0.42	0.89	0.67	0.8	0.79	0.67	0.55	0.54	-0.86		0.85	0.91	-0.85
Net Invested Capital	0.75	0.82	-0.18	0.84	0.63	0.88	0.73	0.75	-0.28	0.59	-0.64	0.9	-0.38	0.78	0.62	0.89	0.71	0.64	0.52	0.71	-0.72	0.85		0.96	-0.94
Net Working Capital	0.76	0.81	-0.15	0.82	0.67	0.88	0.76	0.76	-0.24	0.56	-0.61	0.89	-0.4	0.77	0.62	0.82	0.74	0.59	0.53	0.65	-0.76	0.91	0.96		-0.91
Capital Stock	-0.74	-0.82	0.27	-0.82	-0.62	-0.92	-0.71	-0.73	0.36	-0.67	0.55	-0.92	0.37	-0.82	-0.68	-0.84	-0.67	-0.71	-0.46	-0.78	0.68	-0.85	-0.94	-0.91

Click cells to compare fundamentals

To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.

Competition

Predict Toll Brothers

Based on the company's disclosures, Toll Brothers has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Household Durables sector and 100.0% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

Toll Brothers ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Toll Brothers' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Toll Brothers' managers, analysts, and investors.

Environment Score

Governance Score

Social Score

Toll Brothers Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Toll Brothers that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Toll Brothers' outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Toll Brothers' value.

		Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc	2023-12-31	1.9 M
Bamco Inc	2023-12-31	1.8 M
Amvescap Plc.	2023-12-31	1.7 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp	2023-12-31	1.6 M
Lsv Asset Management	2023-12-31	1.6 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co	2023-12-31	1.4 M
Norges Bank	2023-12-31	1.3 M
Fmr Inc	2023-12-31	1.1 M
Allianz Asset Management Ag	2023-12-31	1.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc	2023-12-31	11.3 M
Blackrock Inc	2023-12-31	10.4 M

Toll Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.21
	Return On Asset	0.0943
	Profit Margin	0.14 %
	Operating Margin	0.16 %
	Current Valuation	14.74 B
	Shares Outstanding	104.17 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	1.13 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	94.52 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	2.62 M
	Price To Earning	5.61 X
	Price To Book	1.78 X
	Price To Sales	1.23 X
	Revenue	9.99 B
	Gross Profit	2.7 B
	EBITDA	1.8 B
	Net Income	1.37 B
	Cash And Equivalents	1.35 B
	Cash Per Share	2.79 X
	Total Debt	2.86 B
	Debt To Equity	0.62 %
	Current Ratio	4.87 X
	Book Value Per Share	67.29 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	1.27 B
	Short Ratio	2.16 X
	Earnings Per Share	12.91 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	0.94 X
	Target Price	129.85
	Number Of Employees	4.8 K
	Beta	1.66
	Market Capitalization	12.63 B
	Total Asset	12.53 B
	Retained Earnings	6.68 B
	Working Capital	8.39 B
	Current Asset	8.19 B
	Current Liabilities	1.73 B
	Annual Yield	0.01 %
	Five Year Return	1.13 %
	Net Asset	12.53 B
	Last Dividend Paid	0.84

About Toll Brothers Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Toll Brothers's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Toll Brothers using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Toll Brothers based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Toll Brothers is a strong investment it is important to analyze Toll Brothers' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Toll Brothers' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Toll Stock, refer to the following important reports:

How To Invest In Toll

Details

Is Toll Stock a good investment?

Details

What is Toll Brothers' Net Worth?

Details

Largest Household Durables Companies

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Check out Toll Brothers Piotroski F Score and Toll Brothers Valuation analysis.

For more information on how to buy Toll Stock please use our How to buy in Toll Stock guide.

You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

Complementary Tools for Toll Stock analysis

When running Toll Brothers' price analysis, check to measure Toll Brothers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Toll Brothers is operating at the current time. Most of Toll Brothers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Toll Brothers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Toll Brothers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Toll Brothers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Is Toll Brothers' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toll Brothers. If investors know Toll will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Toll Brothers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.324

Dividend Share

0.84

Earnings Share

12.91

Revenue Per Share

93.707

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.094

The market value of Toll Brothers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Toll that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Toll Brothers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Toll Brothers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Toll Brothers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Toll Brothers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Toll Brothers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toll Brothers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Toll Brothers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

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Toll Brothers Stock Z Score

Toll Brothers Company Z Score Analysis

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Toll Z Score Driver Correlations

Toll Brothers ESG Sustainability

Toll Brothers Institutional Holders

Toll Fundamentals

About Toll Brothers Fundamental Analysis

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Complementary Tools for Toll Stock analysis

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