Is ZTO Express Stock a Good Investment?

ZTO Express Investment Advice

  ZTO
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on ZTO Express stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating ZTO Express. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include ZTO Express in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine ZTO Express' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research ZTO Express' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help ZTO Express navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Air Freight & Logistics space and any emerging trends that could impact ZTO Express' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare ZTO Express' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how ZTO Express is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if ZTO Express pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about ZTO Express' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in ZTO Express stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if ZTO Express is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Buy
Our trade advice module complements current analysts and expert consensus on ZTO Express. It analyzes the entity potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at this particular time. To make sure ZTO Express is not overpriced, please check out all ZTO Express fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and target price . Given that ZTO Express has a price to earning of 27.47 X, we strongly advise you to confirm ZTO Express market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself for the next few years given your prevalent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine ZTO Express Stock

Researching ZTO Express' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.94. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. ZTO Express has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.5. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of April 2024.
To determine if ZTO Express is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding ZTO Express' research are outlined below:
ZTO Express has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 29th of April 2024 ZTO Express paid $ 0.62 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: As ZTO Express increases 9.1 percent this past week, investors may now be noticing the companys three-year earnings growth

ZTO Express Quarterly Good Will

4.24 Billion

ZTO Express uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in ZTO Express. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to ZTO Express' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
20th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
15th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
20th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact ZTO Express' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises ZTO Express' investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-05-20
2020-03-310.720.820.113 
2018-05-09
2018-03-310.970.78-0.1919 
2021-03-17
2020-12-311.781.55-0.2312 
2018-03-12
2017-12-311.51.760.2617 
2019-05-15
2019-03-311.170.87-0.325 
2022-11-21
2022-09-301.892.370.4825 
2022-08-17
2022-06-301.692.230.5431 

Know ZTO Express' Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as ZTO Express is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ZTO Express backward and forwards among themselves. ZTO Express' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase ZTO Express' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Serenity Capital Management Pte Ltd.2024-03-31
6.1 M
Tiger Pacific Capital Lp2023-12-31
5.1 M
Schroder Investment Management Group2023-12-31
4.7 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2023-12-31
4.5 M
Ubs Group Ag2023-12-31
4.2 M
Ward Ferry Management (bvi) Limited2023-12-31
3.7 M
Aspex Management (hk) Ltd2023-12-31
3.7 M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2023-12-31
3.2 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
3.1 M
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
37.2 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
20.1 M
Note, although ZTO Express' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

ZTO Express' market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 17.37 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate ZTO Express's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by ZTO Express's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Market Cap

85.56 Billion

ZTO Express' profitablity analysis

ZTO Express' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase ZTO Express' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, ZTO Express is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, ZTO Express' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of ZTO Express' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of ZTO Express' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.11  0.15 
Return On Capital Employed 0.15  0.15 
Return On Assets 0.1  0.11 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.14 
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.23 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.27 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.27 of operating income.
Determining ZTO Express' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if ZTO Express is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures ZTO Express' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of ZTO Express' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
The data published in ZTO Express' official financial statements usually reflect ZTO Express' business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of ZTO Express. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by ZTO accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what ZTO Express' liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Air Freight & Logistics space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of ZTO Express' financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, ZTO Express' management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in ZTO Express' accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of ZTO Express. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of ZTO Express' management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate ZTO Express' management efficiency

ZTO Express has Return on Asset of 0.0755 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0755 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1526 %, implying that it generated $0.1526 on every 100 dollars invested. ZTO Express' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well ZTO Express manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, ZTO Express' Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 30th of April 2024, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.15, while Return On Equity is likely to drop 0.14. At this time, ZTO Express' Asset Turnover is very stable compared to the past year.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 74.04  77.74 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 62.37  65.49 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 9.21  8.74 
Price Book Value Ratio 2.04  1.94 
Enterprise Value Multiple 9.21  8.74 
Price Fair Value 2.04  1.94 
Enterprise Value125.1 B82.4 B
The analysis of ZTO Express' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze ZTO Express' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of ZTO Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0287
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0287
Forward Dividend Rate
0.62
Beta
(0.05)

Basic technical analysis of ZTO Stock

As of the 30th of April, ZTO Express maintains the Downside Deviation of 1.87, mean deviation of 1.73, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1157. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check available technical drivers of ZTO Express, as well as the relationship between them. Specifically, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past data patterns, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for nineteen technical drivers for ZTO Express, which can be compared to its peers. Please check out ZTO Express information ratio and downside variance to decide if ZTO Express is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its latest price of 21.34 per share. Given that ZTO Express has jensen alpha of 0.3117, we strongly advise you to confirm ZTO Express's prevalent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself next year.

Understand ZTO Express' technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing ZTO Express' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider ZTO Express' intraday indicators

ZTO Express intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of ZTO Express stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

ZTO Express Corporate Filings

6K
29th of April 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
19th of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
13A
9th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
18th of January 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
ZTO Express time-series forecasting models is one of many ZTO Express' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary ZTO Express' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

ZTO Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about ZTO Express that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through ZTO media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via ZTO internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of ZTO data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of ZTO Express news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of ZTO Express relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to ZTO Express' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive ZTO Express alpha.

ZTO Express Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards ZTO Express can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

ZTO Express Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to ZTO Express' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ZTO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ZTO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ZTO Express. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
ZTO Express' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for ZTO Express and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average ZTO Express news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on ZTO Express.

ZTO Express Maximum Pain Price across 2024-05-17 Option Contracts

ZTO Express' options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of ZTO Express close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of ZTO Express' options.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in ZTO Express without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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ZTO Express Corporate Directors

ZTO Express corporate directors refer to members of a ZTO Express board of directors. The board of directors generally takes responsibility for the ZTO Express' affairs and long-term direction of the entity. A corporate director does not make decisions for the corporation on his own. As a member of the board of directors, she or he must function as a part of a group that makes decisions on behalf of the business only by the board of directors' meetings. To pass a resolution, a majority of ZTO Express' board members must vote for the resolution. The ZTO Express board of directors' duties also include the election, removal, and supervision of officers, including the adoption, amendment, and repeal of bylaws.
Xing LiuIndependent DirectorProfile
Charles HuangIndependent Director - AppointeeProfile
Xiangliang HuDirector and General Manager - Guangdong ProvinceProfile
Herman YuIndependent Director - AppointeeProfile

How to buy ZTO Stock?

To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on ZTO Express stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating ZTO Express. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include ZTO Express in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine ZTO Express' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research ZTO Express' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help ZTO Express navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Air Freight & Logistics space and any emerging trends that could impact ZTO Express' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare ZTO Express' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how ZTO Express is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if ZTO Express pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about ZTO Express' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in ZTO Express stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if ZTO Express is a good investment.

Already Invested in ZTO Express?

The danger of trading ZTO Express is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of ZTO Express is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than ZTO Express. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile ZTO Express is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether ZTO Express offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ZTO Express' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Zto Express Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Zto Express Stock:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ZTO Express. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
To learn how to invest in ZTO Stock, please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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When running ZTO Express' price analysis, check to measure ZTO Express' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ZTO Express is operating at the current time. Most of ZTO Express' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ZTO Express' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ZTO Express' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ZTO Express to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is ZTO Express' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ZTO Express. If investors know ZTO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ZTO Express listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.02
Dividend Share
4.396
Earnings Share
1.46
Revenue Per Share
47.563
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.076
The market value of ZTO Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ZTO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ZTO Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ZTO Express' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ZTO Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ZTO Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between ZTO Express' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if ZTO Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ZTO Express' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.