Federated Hermes Mdt Fund Market Value
| QAMNX Fund | USD 18.56 0.10 0.54% |
| Symbol | Federated |
Federated Hermes 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Federated Hermes' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Federated Hermes.
| 04/14/2024 |
| 05/14/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Federated Hermes on April 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Federated Hermes Mdt or generate 0.0% return on investment in Federated Hermes over 30 days. The fund seeks to achieve its objective by selecting long positions in publicly traded common stocks which its quantitat... More
Federated Hermes Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Federated Hermes' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Federated Hermes Mdt upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.4814 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.45 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.69) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.6974 |
Federated Hermes Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Federated Hermes' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Federated Hermes' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Federated Hermes historical prices to predict the future Federated Hermes' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0762 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0438 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.9169 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Federated Hermes' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Federated Hermes Mdt Backtested Returns
We consider Federated Hermes very steady. Federated Hermes Mdt secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which denotes the fund had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Federated Hermes Mdt, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Federated Hermes' Downside Deviation of 0.4814, mean deviation of 0.3443, and Coefficient Of Variation of 773.21 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0576%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0519, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Federated Hermes' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Federated Hermes is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.01 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Federated Hermes Mdt has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Federated Hermes time series from 14th of April 2024 to 29th of April 2024 and 29th of April 2024 to 14th of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Federated Hermes Mdt price movement. The serial correlation of -0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Federated Hermes price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.01 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.2 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Federated Hermes Mdt lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Federated Hermes mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Federated Hermes' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Federated Hermes returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Federated Hermes has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
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Federated Hermes regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Federated Hermes mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Federated Hermes mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Federated Hermes mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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Federated Hermes Lagged Returns
When evaluating Federated Hermes' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Federated Hermes mutual fund have on its future price. Federated Hermes autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Federated Hermes autocorrelation shows the relationship between Federated Hermes mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Federated Hermes Mdt.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis
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Check out Federated Hermes Correlation, Federated Hermes Volatility and Federated Hermes Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Federated Hermes. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Federated Hermes technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.