Fidelity National Financial Stock Price Prediction
| FNF Stock | USD 50.39 0.51 1.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
36
Oversold | Overbought |
Fidelity National stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Fidelity National shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Fidelity National's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fidelity National and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fidelity National's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fidelity National Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Fidelity National's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.189 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.89 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.75 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.76 | Wall Street Target Price 58.83 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Fidelity National based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Fidelity stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Fidelity National over a specific investment horizon. Using Fidelity National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fidelity National Financial from the perspective of Fidelity National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fidelity National using Fidelity National's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fidelity using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fidelity National's stock price.
Fidelity National Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Fidelity National's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Fidelity. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Fidelity National stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Fidelity National may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Fidelity National and may potentially protect profits, hedge Fidelity National with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 45.4481 | Short Percent 0.0176 | Short Ratio 3.37 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.1 M | 50 Day MA 50.6524 |
Fidelity National Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Fidelity National's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fidelity. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fidelity can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fidelity National Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fidelity National's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fidelity National.
Fidelity National Implied Volatility | 29.73 |
Fidelity National's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fidelity National Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fidelity National's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fidelity National stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fidelity National's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Fidelity National. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fidelity National to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fidelity because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Fidelity National after-hype prediction price | USD 50.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fidelity |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fidelity National's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fidelity National After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fidelity National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fidelity National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fidelity National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fidelity National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fidelity National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fidelity National's historical news coverage. Fidelity National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.56 and 52.22, respectively. We have considered Fidelity National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fidelity National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fidelity National is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fidelity National Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fidelity National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fidelity National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fidelity National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.84 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
50.39 | 50.39 | 0.00 |
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Fidelity National Hype Timeline
On the 29th of April Fidelity National is traded for 50.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Fidelity is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fidelity National is about 760.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.39. About 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.92. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fidelity National last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2024. The entity had 104:100 split on the 1st of December 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Fidelity National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Fidelity National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fidelity National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fidelity National's future price movements. Getting to know how Fidelity National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fidelity National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AXS | AXIS Capital Holdings | (1.90) | 13 per month | 1.30 | (0.01) | 1.85 | (2.04) | 6.14 | |
| AGO | Assured Guaranty | (1.17) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.65 | (2.09) | 14.51 | |
| ACT | Enact Holdings | (0.52) | 13 per month | 1.22 | 0.01 | 1.85 | (1.56) | 6.54 | |
| NMIH | NMI Holdings | 0.31 | 11 per month | 1.42 | (0.04) | 2.33 | (2.30) | 7.15 | |
| RDN | Radian Group | 0.18 | 12 per month | 1.65 | (0.0003) | 2.47 | (2.56) | 11.46 | |
| ESNT | Essent Group | 0.38 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.52 | (2.18) | 7.67 | |
| JRVR | James River Group | 0.11 | 11 per month | 4.12 | (0.01) | 5.62 | (3.85) | 24.31 | |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corp | (0.02) | 8 per month | 1.54 | (0.01) | 1.79 | (2.22) | 10.93 | |
| EIG | Employers Holdings | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.89 | 0.01 | 2.15 | (1.55) | 7.02 | |
| MBI | MBIA Inc | 0.01 | 8 per month | 2.48 | (0) | 4.23 | (4.05) | 14.06 | |
| ICCH | ICC Holdings | 0.00 | 9 per month | 1.08 | (0) | 3.16 | (2.90) | 9.23 |
Fidelity National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fidelity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fidelity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fidelity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Fidelity National Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Fidelity National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fidelity National Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fidelity National based on analysis of Fidelity National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fidelity National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fidelity National's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0312 | 0.0473 | 0.0363 | 0.0345 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.91 | 0.9 | 1.17 | 0.68 |
Story Coverage note for Fidelity National
The number of cover stories for Fidelity National depends on current market conditions and Fidelity National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fidelity National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fidelity National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fidelity National Short Properties
Fidelity National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fidelity National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fidelity National Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fidelity National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fidelity National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 271 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26.6 B |
Check out Fidelity National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for Fidelity Stock analysis
When running Fidelity National's price analysis, check to measure Fidelity National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fidelity National is operating at the current time. Most of Fidelity National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fidelity National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fidelity National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fidelity National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fidelity National's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fidelity National. If investors know Fidelity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fidelity National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.189 | Dividend Share 1.83 | Earnings Share 1.91 | Revenue Per Share 43.659 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.334 |
The market value of Fidelity National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fidelity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fidelity National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fidelity National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fidelity National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fidelity National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fidelity National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fidelity National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fidelity National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.