Radiant Logistics Stock Price Prediction
| RLGT Stock | USD 5.25 0.16 2.96% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.80) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.13 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.5 | Wall Street Target Price 9.38 |
Using Radiant Logistics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Radiant Logistics from the perspective of Radiant Logistics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Radiant Logistics using Radiant Logistics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Radiant using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Radiant Logistics' stock price.
Radiant Logistics Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Radiant Logistics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Radiant Logistics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Radiant Logistics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Radiant Logistics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Radiant Logistics' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Radiant Logistics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Radiant because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Radiant Logistics after-hype prediction price | USD 5.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Radiant |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Radiant Logistics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Radiant Logistics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Radiant Logistics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Radiant Logistics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Radiant Logistics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Radiant Logistics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Radiant Logistics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Radiant Logistics' historical news coverage. Radiant Logistics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.67 and 7.15, respectively. We have considered Radiant Logistics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Radiant Logistics is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Radiant Logistics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Radiant Logistics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Radiant Logistics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Radiant Logistics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Radiant Logistics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.25 | 5.41 | 0.00 |
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Radiant Logistics Hype Timeline
Radiant Logistics is at this time traded for 5.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Radiant is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Radiant Logistics is about 517.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.24. About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.18. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Radiant Logistics has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.78. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 7:2 split on the 21st of October 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Radiant Logistics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Radiant Logistics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Radiant Logistics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Radiant Logistics' future price movements. Getting to know how Radiant Logistics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Radiant Logistics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DSKE | Daseke Inc | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.25 | (0.24) | 0.97 | |
| ULH | Universal Logistics Holdings | (1.05) | 10 per month | 2.10 | 0.05 | 4.05 | (3.76) | 44.37 | |
| PTSI | PAM Transportation Services | (0.11) | 9 per month | 2.86 | 0 | 4.13 | (5.05) | 27.35 | |
| EVI | EVI Industries | (0.77) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.16 | (5.06) | 14.33 | |
| PCYG | Park City Group | 0.25 | 9 per month | 1.82 | 0.0008 | 2.79 | (3.02) | 9.68 |
Radiant Logistics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Radiant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Radiant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Radiant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Radiant Logistics Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Radiant Logistics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Radiant Logistics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Radiant Logistics based on analysis of Radiant Logistics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Radiant Logistics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Radiant Logistics's related companies. | 2018 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.004165 | 0.009439 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.35 | 0.2 |
Story Coverage note for Radiant Logistics
The number of cover stories for Radiant Logistics depends on current market conditions and Radiant Logistics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Radiant Logistics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Radiant Logistics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Radiant Logistics Short Properties
Radiant Logistics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Radiant Logistics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Radiant Logistics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Radiant Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Radiant Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.4 M |
Additional Tools for Radiant Stock Analysis
When running Radiant Logistics' price analysis, check to measure Radiant Logistics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Radiant Logistics is operating at the current time. Most of Radiant Logistics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Radiant Logistics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Radiant Logistics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Radiant Logistics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.