Xos Inc Stock Price Prediction
| XOS Stock | USD 7.60 0.01 0.13% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (2.12) | EPS Estimate Current Year (7.16) | EPS Estimate Next Year (4.80) | Wall Street Target Price 18.6 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (2.25) |
Using Xos hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xos Inc from the perspective of Xos response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Xos using Xos' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Xos using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Xos' stock price.
Xos Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Xos' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Xos Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Xos' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Xos stock will not fluctuate a lot when Xos' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Xos to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Xos because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Xos after-hype prediction price | USD 7.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Xos |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xos' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Xos After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xos at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xos or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xos, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Xos Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xos' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xos' historical news coverage. Xos' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.49 and 11.73, respectively. We have considered Xos' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xos is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xos Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xos Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xos is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xos backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xos, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.70 | 4.04 | 0.14 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.60 | 7.61 | 0.00 |
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Xos Hype Timeline
On the 6th of June Xos Inc is traded for 7.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Xos is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.7%. %. The volatility of related hype on Xos is about 8977.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.57. About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.52. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Xos Inc recorded a loss per share of 10.59. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:30 split on the 7th of December 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Xos Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Xos Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xos' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xos' future price movements. Getting to know how Xos' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xos may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GNTX | Gentex | (0.23) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.23 | (1.61) | 3.80 | |
| ADNT | Adient PLC | (0.24) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.94 | (4.40) | 13.25 | |
| ALV | Autoliv | (0.45) | 11 per month | 1.39 | 0.02 | 2.14 | (2.18) | 10.06 | |
| FOXF | Fox Factory Holding | 0.43 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.75 | (4.93) | 16.35 | |
| DAN | Dana Inc | (0.03) | 9 per month | 1.71 | 0.09 | 2.74 | (2.80) | 9.44 | |
| APTV | Aptiv PLC | (0.34) | 9 per month | 2.11 | 0.02 | 3.76 | (3.16) | 13.46 | |
| LKQ | LKQ Corporation | (0.05) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.97 | (2.58) | 16.85 | |
| LEA | Lear Corporation | (0.21) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.79 | (2.38) | 10.53 | |
| MGA | Magna International | 0.33 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.65 | (3.19) | 8.69 | |
| AXL | American Axle Manufacturing | 0.34 | 8 per month | 1.72 | 0.10 | 3.44 | (2.91) | 9.42 |
Xos Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Xos Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Xos stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xos Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xos based on analysis of Xos hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Xos's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Xos's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 0.73 | 22.93 | 16.62 | 17.45 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 1.5K | 316.27 | 301.5 | 286.43 |
Story Coverage note for Xos
The number of cover stories for Xos depends on current market conditions and Xos' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xos is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xos' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Xos Short Properties
Xos' future price predictability will typically decrease when Xos' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xos Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.6 M |
Additional Tools for Xos Stock Analysis
When running Xos' price analysis, check to measure Xos' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xos is operating at the current time. Most of Xos' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xos' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xos' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xos to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.