El Pollo Loco Stock Analysis
LOCO Stock | USD 10.86 0.18 1.69% |
El Pollo Loco is undervalued with Real Value of 11.39 and Target Price of 10.67. The main objective of El Pollo stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what El Pollo Loco is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of El Pollo's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The El Pollo stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. El Pollo is usually not traded on Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day. LOCO Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
LOCO |
LOCO Stock Analysis Notes
About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.1. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. El Pollo Loco has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.16. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of October 2022. El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, El Pollo Loco, Inc., develops, franchises, licenses, and operates quick-service restaurants under the El Pollo Loco name. El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Costa Mesa, California. El Pollo operates under Restaurants classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 4626 people. To find out more about El Pollo Loco contact the company at 714 599 5000 or learn more at https://www.elpolloloco.com.El Pollo Quarterly Total Revenue |
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El Pollo Loco Investment Alerts
El Pollo Loco currently holds 273.33 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.72, which is about average as compared to similar companies. El Pollo Loco has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about El Pollo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
El Pollo Loco has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Over 92.0% of El Pollo shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from zerohedge.com: Minimum Wage Folly |
El Pollo Loco Upcoming and Recent Events
Earnings reports are used by El Pollo to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to El Pollo previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
14th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
2nd of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
14th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
LOCO Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact El Pollo's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-03-09 | 2022-12-31 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.02 | 14 | ||
2022-11-03 | 2022-09-30 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 16 | ||
2022-08-04 | 2022-06-30 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 0.02 | 10 |
El Pollo Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores
El Pollo's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates El Pollo's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of El Pollo's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect El Pollo's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.
El Pollo Thematic Classifications
In addition to having El Pollo stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
RestaurantsRestaurants, Coffee Shops and other eateries | ||
HotelsHotels and motels | ||
Restaraunts Hotels MotelsUSA Equities from Restaraunts Hotels Motels industry as classified by Fama & French |
LOCO Stock Institutional Investors
Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 608.9 K | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2024-03-31 | 584.5 K | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 524.9 K | Invenomic Capital Management, Lp | 2024-03-31 | 491.2 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-12-31 | 459.5 K | Assenagon Asset Management Sa | 2024-03-31 | 347.6 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-03-31 | 332.8 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-03-31 | 305.5 K | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2024-03-31 | 256 K | Biglari Capital Corp. | 2024-03-31 | 4 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.5 M |
LOCO Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 315.76 M.LOCO Profitablity
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.06 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.08 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.08.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Return On Tangible Assets | 0.29 | 0.31 | |
Return On Capital Employed | 0.12 | 0.08 | |
Return On Assets | 0.09 | 0.1 | |
Return On Equity | 0.20 | 0.21 |
Management Efficiency
El Pollo Loco has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0405 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0405 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.0989 %, meaning that it created $0.0989 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. El Pollo's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well El Pollo manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, El Pollo's Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 4th of June 2024, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.1, while Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop 0.08. At this time, El Pollo's Other Current Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 4th of June 2024, Total Current Assets is likely to grow to about 35.3 M, while Total Assets are likely to drop about 555.6 M.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Book Value Per Share | 6.52 | 5.02 | |
Net Current Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Book Value Per Share | (3.13) | (3.28) | |
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 44.75 | 46.99 | |
Price Book Value Ratio | 3.06 | 4.61 | |
Enterprise Value Multiple | 44.75 | 46.99 | |
Price Fair Value | 3.06 | 4.61 | |
Enterprise Value | 799.1 M | 871.3 M |
The analysis of El Pollo's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze El Pollo's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of LOCO Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta 1.372 |
Technical Drivers
As of the 4th of June, El Pollo owns the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1837, standard deviation of 2.77, and Downside Deviation of 1.73. In respect to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model provides you with a way to check possible technical drivers of El Pollo Loco, as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume patterns, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down nineteen technical drivers for El Pollo, which can be compared to its peers in the sector. Please confirm El Pollo Loco standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and expected short fall to decide if El Pollo Loco is priced favorably, providing market reflects its prevailing price of 10.86 per share. Given that El Pollo Loco has jensen alpha of 0.2558, we urge you to verify El Pollo's latest market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself in the future.El Pollo Loco Price Movement Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-nine with a total number of output elements of thirty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. El Pollo middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for El Pollo Loco. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
El Pollo Loco Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific El Pollo insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on El Pollo's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases El Pollo insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Laurance Roberts over two months ago Disposition of 4121 shares by Laurance Roberts of El Pollo at 10.94 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
John Roth over six months ago Sale by John Roth of 33000 shares of El Pollo | ||
John Roth over six months ago Acquisition by John Roth of 9934 shares of El Pollo subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Laurance Roberts over six months ago Exercise or conversion by Laurance Roberts of 35329 shares of El Pollo subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Laurance Roberts over a year ago Exercise or conversion by Laurance Roberts of 13863 shares of El Pollo subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Laurance Roberts over a year ago Payment of 4100 shares by Laurance Roberts of El Pollo subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Laurance Roberts over a year ago Acquisition by Laurance Roberts of 55188 shares of El Pollo subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Laurance Roberts over a year ago Exercise or conversion by Laurance Roberts of 24621 shares of El Pollo subject to Rule 16b-3 |
El Pollo Predictive Daily Indicators
El Pollo intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of El Pollo stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
Day Median Price | 10.86 | |||
Day Typical Price | 10.86 | |||
Price Action Indicator | 0.09 | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | 0.18 |
El Pollo Corporate Filings
8K | 3rd of June 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F4 | 31st of May 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 30th of May 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
8K | 29th of May 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F3 | 20th of May 2024 The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock | ViewVerify |
F4 | 16th of May 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 10th of May 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
10Q | 3rd of May 2024 Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations | ViewVerify |
El Pollo Forecast Models
El Pollo's time-series forecasting models are one of many El Pollo's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary El Pollo's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About LOCO Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how El Pollo prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling LOCO shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as El Pollo. By using and applying LOCO Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying LOCO entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Pretax Profit Margin | (0.06) | (0.06) | |
Operating Profit Margin | 0.14 | 0.1 | |
Net Profit Margin | 0.12 | 0.13 | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.26 | 0.25 |
Current LOCO Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. LOCO analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. LOCO analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
10.67 | Buy | 4 | Odds |
Most LOCO analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand LOCO stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of El Pollo Loco, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to LOCO conference calls.
LOCO Stock Analysis Indicators
El Pollo Loco stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how El Pollo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading El Pollo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying El Pollo stock analysis, traders can identify El Pollo position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 20.5 M | |
Long Term Debt | 84 M | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.4 M | |
Total Stockholder Equity | 250.7 M | |
Tax Provision | 10 M | |
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 0.462 | |
Property Plant And Equipment Net | 253.6 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.3 M | |
Cash | 7.3 M | |
Accounts Payable | 12.5 M | |
Net Debt | 266 M | |
50 Day M A | 9.5524 | |
Total Current Liabilities | 72.6 M | |
Other Operating Expenses | 430.9 M | |
Non Current Assets Total | 567.2 M | |
Forward Price Earnings | 14.0252 | |
Non Currrent Assets Other | 3 M | |
Stock Based Compensation | 3 M |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in LOCO Stock
When determining whether El Pollo Loco offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of El Pollo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of El Pollo Loco Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on El Pollo Loco Stock:Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in El Pollo Loco. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of El Pollo. If investors know LOCO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about El Pollo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.462 | Earnings Share 0.8 | Revenue Per Share 14.299 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.014 | Return On Assets 0.0405 |
The market value of El Pollo Loco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LOCO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of El Pollo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is El Pollo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because El Pollo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect El Pollo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between El Pollo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if El Pollo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, El Pollo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.