Chaintech Technology (Taiwan) Volatility

2425 Stock  TWD 38.00  0.10  0.26%   
Chaintech Technology Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0896, which signifies that the company had a -0.0896% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Chaintech Technology Corp exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Chaintech Technology's mean deviation of 1.54, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Chaintech Technology's volatility include:
180 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
180 Days Economic Sensitivity
Chaintech Technology Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Chaintech daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Chaintech's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Chaintech Technology volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Chaintech Technology can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Chaintech Technology at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Chaintech stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Chaintech Technology's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Chaintech Stock

  0.812882B Cathay Financial HoldingPairCorr
  0.832881B Fubon Financial HoldingPairCorr

Moving against Chaintech Stock

  0.82891 CTBC Financial HoldingPairCorr
  0.752882 Cathay Financial HoldingPairCorr
  0.72330 Taiwan SemiconductorPairCorr
  0.690050 YuantaP shares TaiwanPairCorr
  0.680057 Fubon MSCI TaiwanPairCorr
  0.660053 YuantaP shares TaiwanPairCorr
  0.592888 Shin Kong FinancialPairCorr
  0.582882A Cathay Financial HoldingPairCorr
  0.572881A Fubon Financial HoldingPairCorr

Chaintech Technology Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Chaintech Technology's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Chaintech stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Chaintech stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Chaintech Technology's beta of -0.4 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Chaintech Technology stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Chaintech Technology Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.19 and kurtosis of 3.75. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Chaintech Technology's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Chaintech Technology's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Chaintech Technology Corp Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Chaintech Technology correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Chaintech Beta

    
  -0.4  
Chaintech standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.15  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Chaintech Technology's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Chaintech Technology's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in chaintech stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Chaintech Technology.

Chaintech Technology Corp Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Chaintech Technology stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Chaintech Technology's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Chaintech Technology's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Chaintech Technology's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Chaintech Technology's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Chaintech Technology's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Chaintech Technology's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Chaintech Technology's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Chaintech Technology Corp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Chaintech Technology Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chaintech Technology Corp has a beta of -0.3993 . This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Chaintech Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Chaintech Technology Corp is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Chaintech Technology or Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Chaintech Technology's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Chaintech stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Chaintech Technology Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Chaintech Technology's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how chaintech stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Chaintech Technology Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Chaintech Technology Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Chaintech Technology is -1115.75. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 4.64 and standard deviation of 2.15. The mean deviation of Chaintech Technology Corp is currently at 1.34. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.69
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.26
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.4
σ
Overall volatility
2.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Chaintech Technology Stock Return Volatility

Chaintech Technology historical daily return volatility represents how much of Chaintech Technology stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The venture accepts 2.1548% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.7246% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Chaintech Technology Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Chaintech Technology or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Chaintech Technology may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Chaintech's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Chaintech Technology and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Chaintech Technology fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Chaintech Technology Corporation operates in the mainboard and graphics card markets in Taiwan and China. Chaintech Technology Corporation was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan. CHAINTECH TECHNOLOGY operates under Computer Hardware classification in Taiwan and is traded on Taiwan Stock Exchange. It employs 164 people.
Chaintech Technology's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Chaintech Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Chaintech Technology's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Chaintech Technology's volatility to invest better

Higher Chaintech Technology's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Chaintech Technology Corp stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Chaintech Technology Corp stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Chaintech Technology Corp investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Chaintech Technology's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Chaintech Technology's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Chaintech Technology Investment Opportunity

Chaintech Technology Corp has a volatility of 2.15 and is 2.99 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Chaintech Technology Corp is lower than 19 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Chaintech Technology Corp to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of Chaintech Technology to be traded at NT$39.9 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between Chaintech Technology Corp and NYA is -0.12 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Chaintech Technology Corp and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Chaintech Technology Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Chaintech Technology's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chaintech Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Chaintech Technology stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Chaintech Technology Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Chaintech Technology as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Chaintech Technology's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Chaintech Technology's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Chaintech Technology Corp.

Additional Tools for Chaintech Stock Analysis

When running Chaintech Technology's price analysis, check to measure Chaintech Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chaintech Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Chaintech Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chaintech Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chaintech Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chaintech Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.