CCL Industries Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

A naive forecasting model for CCL Industries is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of CCL Industries value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

CCL Industries Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of September

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CCL Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 80.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87, mean absolute percentage error of 1.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.01.

CCL Industries Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CCL Industries

CCL Industries Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

CCL Industries Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CCL Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CCL Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of CCL Industries. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict CCL Industries. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for CCL Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CCL Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 80.58 81.81 83.04 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 59.46 60.69 90.22 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.95 1.09 1.16 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CCL Industries. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CCL Industries' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CCL Industries' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CCL Industries.

Other Forecasting Options for CCL Industries

For every potential investor in CCL, whether a beginner or expert, CCL Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CCL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CCL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CCL Industries' price trends.

CCL Industries Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

CCL Industries Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CCL Industries' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CCL Industries' current price.

CCL Industries Market Strength Events

CCL Industries Risk Indicators

Pair Trading with CCL Industries

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if CCL Industries position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CCL Industries will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Additional Tools for CCL Stock Analysis