Adaptimmune Therapeutics Plc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.04
| ADAP Stock | USD 1.04 0.02 1.96% |
Closest to current price Adaptimmune long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Adaptimmune |
Adaptimmune Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish over 1.04
The tendency of Adaptimmune Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.04 | 90 days | 1.04 | about 82.83 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adaptimmune Therapeutics to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 82.83 (This Adaptimmune Therapeutics Plc probability density function shows the probability of Adaptimmune Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Adaptimmune Therapeutics Plc has a beta of -0.2. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Adaptimmune Therapeutics are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Adaptimmune Therapeutics Plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Adaptimmune Therapeutics Plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Adaptimmune Therapeutics Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Adaptimmune Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adaptimmune Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Adaptimmune Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Adaptimmune Therapeutics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adaptimmune Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adaptimmune Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adaptimmune Therapeutics Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adaptimmune Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.67 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Adaptimmune Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adaptimmune Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adaptimmune Therapeutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Adaptimmune Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Adaptimmune Therapeutics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Adaptimmune Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 60.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (114.31 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (100.58 M). | |
| Adaptimmune Therapeutics Plc currently holds about 199.67 M in cash with (141.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Enable Biosciences Secures Patent for Antibody Detection Method with Applications in Type 1 Diabetes |
Adaptimmune Therapeutics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adaptimmune Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adaptimmune Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adaptimmune Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 201.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 146.9 M |
Adaptimmune Therapeutics Technical Analysis
Adaptimmune Therapeutics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Adaptimmune Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Adaptimmune Therapeutics Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Adaptimmune Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Adaptimmune Therapeutics Predictive Forecast Models
Adaptimmune Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Adaptimmune Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Adaptimmune Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Adaptimmune Therapeutics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Adaptimmune Therapeutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Adaptimmune Therapeutics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Adaptimmune Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Adaptimmune Therapeutics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Adaptimmune Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 60.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (114.31 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (100.58 M). | |
| Adaptimmune Therapeutics Plc currently holds about 199.67 M in cash with (141.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Enable Biosciences Secures Patent for Antibody Detection Method with Applications in Type 1 Diabetes |
Additional Tools for Adaptimmune Stock Analysis
When running Adaptimmune Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Adaptimmune Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adaptimmune Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Adaptimmune Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adaptimmune Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adaptimmune Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adaptimmune Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.