AMERISAFE Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| AMSF Stock | USD 45.08 0.19 0.42% |
AMERISAFE Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast AMERISAFE stock prices and determine the direction of AMERISAFE's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AMERISAFE's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although AMERISAFE's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of AMERISAFE's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of AMERISAFE fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AMERISAFE to cross-verify your projections. AMERISAFE |
Open Interest Against 2024-06-21 AMERISAFE Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast AMERISAFE's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in AMERISAFE's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for AMERISAFE stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current AMERISAFE's open interest, investors have to compare it to AMERISAFE's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of AMERISAFE is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in AMERISAFE. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in AMERISAFE cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the AMERISAFE's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets AMERISAFE's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which AMERISAFE is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of AMERISAFE to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by AMERISAFE trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 2200.91 | 2504.98 |
| Check AMERISAFE Volatility | Backtest AMERISAFE | Trend Details |
AMERISAFE Trading Date Momentum
| On April 02 2024 AMERISAFE was traded for 48.44 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 48.81 and the lowest listed price was 48.24 . The trading volume for the day was 139.8 K. The trading history from April 2, 2024 was a factor to the next trading day price decrease. The overall trading delta against the next closing price was 1.22% . The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 3.02% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare AMERISAFE to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for AMERISAFE
For every potential investor in AMERISAFE, whether a beginner or expert, AMERISAFE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AMERISAFE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AMERISAFE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AMERISAFE's price trends.AMERISAFE Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AMERISAFE stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AMERISAFE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AMERISAFE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AMERISAFE Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AMERISAFE's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AMERISAFE's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AMERISAFE Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AMERISAFE stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AMERISAFE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AMERISAFE stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AMERISAFE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1843.25 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.23) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 45.18 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 45.15 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.20) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.19) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 21.11 |
AMERISAFE Risk Indicators
The analysis of AMERISAFE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AMERISAFE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amerisafe stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9863 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Variance | 2.78 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether AMERISAFE is a strong investment it is important to analyze AMERISAFE's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact AMERISAFE's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding AMERISAFE Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AMERISAFE to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in AMERISAFE Stock please use our How to Invest in AMERISAFE guide.You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Complementary Tools for AMERISAFE Stock analysis
When running AMERISAFE's price analysis, check to measure AMERISAFE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMERISAFE is operating at the current time. Most of AMERISAFE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMERISAFE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMERISAFE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMERISAFE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AMERISAFE's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AMERISAFE. If investors know AMERISAFE will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AMERISAFE listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Dividend Share 1.39 | Earnings Share 3.19 | Revenue Per Share 16.136 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.026 |
The market value of AMERISAFE is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AMERISAFE that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AMERISAFE's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AMERISAFE's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AMERISAFE's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AMERISAFE's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AMERISAFE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AMERISAFE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AMERISAFE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.