Star Gas Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

SGU Stock  USD 10.73  0.27  2.45%   
Star Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Star Gas stock prices and determine the direction of Star Gas Partners's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Star Gas' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Star Gas' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Star Gas' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Star Gas fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Star Gas to cross-verify your projections.
  
Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 13.43 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 14.00 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 48.3 M in 2024. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 43.4 M in 2024.

Open Interest Against 2024-06-21 Star Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Star Gas' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Star Gas' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Star Gas stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Star Gas' open interest, investors have to compare it to Star Gas' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Star Gas is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Star. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
On April 22, 2024 Star Gas Partners had Accumulation Distribution of 3168.46.
Most investors in Star Gas cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Star Gas' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Star Gas' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Star Gas is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Star Gas Partners to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Star Gas trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Star Gas VolatilityBacktest Star GasTrend Details  

Star Gas Trading Date Momentum

On April 23 2024 Star Gas Partners was traded for  11.16  at the closing time. Highest Star Gas's price during the trading hours was 11.43  and the lowest price during the day was  10.47 . The net volume was 101.6 K. The overall trading history on the 23rd of April contributed to the next trading period price appreciation. The trading price change to the next next day price was 8.03% . The trading price change to current price is 8.62% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Star Gas to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Star Gas

For every potential investor in Star, whether a beginner or expert, Star Gas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Star Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Star. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Star Gas' price trends.

Star Gas Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Star Gas stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Star Gas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Star Gas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Star Gas Partners Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Star Gas' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Star Gas' current price.

Star Gas Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Star Gas stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Star Gas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Star Gas stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Star Gas Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Star Gas Risk Indicators

The analysis of Star Gas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Star Gas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting star stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Star Gas

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Star Gas position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Star Gas will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Star Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Star Gas could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Star Gas when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Star Gas - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Star Gas Partners to buy it.
The correlation of Star Gas is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Star Gas moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Star Gas Partners moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Star Gas can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Star Gas Partners is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Star Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Star Gas Partners Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Star Gas Partners Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Star Gas to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Star Gas Partners information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Star Gas' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

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When running Star Gas' price analysis, check to measure Star Gas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Star Gas is operating at the current time. Most of Star Gas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Star Gas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Star Gas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Star Gas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Star Gas' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Star Gas. If investors know Star will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Star Gas listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.104
Dividend Share
0.66
Earnings Share
0.95
Revenue Per Share
49.49
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.1)
The market value of Star Gas Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Star that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Star Gas' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Star Gas' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Star Gas' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Star Gas' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Star Gas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Star Gas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Star Gas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.