Fagron NV (Belgium) Price Prediction
| FAGR Stock | EUR 18.26 0.42 2.25% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Fagron NV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fagron NV from the perspective of Fagron NV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fagron NV to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fagron because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Fagron NV after-hype prediction price | EUR 18.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fagron |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fagron NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fagron NV After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fagron NV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fagron NV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fagron NV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fagron NV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fagron NV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fagron NV's historical news coverage. Fagron NV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.13 and 19.39, respectively. We have considered Fagron NV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fagron NV is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fagron NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fagron NV Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fagron NV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fagron NV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fagron NV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.26 | 18.26 | 0.00 |
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Fagron NV Hype Timeline
Fagron NV is currently traded for 18.26on Euronext Brussels of Belgium. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Fagron is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fagron NV is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.26. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Fagron NV was currently reported as 5.1. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of May 2022. Fagron NV had 1202:1117 split on the 17th of June 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Fagron NV Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Fagron NV Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fagron NV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fagron NV's future price movements. Getting to know how Fagron NV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fagron NV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MITRA | Mithra Pharmaceuticals SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.76 | (4.35) | 19.05 | |
| TESB | Tessenderlo | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.45 | 0.01 | 1.80 | (1.65) | 9.19 | |
| BEKB | NV Bekaert SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.41 | (1.77) | 5.99 | |
| ONTEX | Ontex Group NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.83 | 0.16 | 2.78 | (1.63) | 7.58 | |
| ARGX | Argen X | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.81 | 0 | 3.59 | (3.33) | 19.06 |
Fagron NV Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fagron price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fagron using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fagron charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Fagron NV Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Fagron NV stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fagron NV, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fagron NV based on analysis of Fagron NV hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fagron NV's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fagron NV's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Fagron NV
The number of cover stories for Fagron NV depends on current market conditions and Fagron NV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fagron NV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fagron NV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fagron NV Short Properties
Fagron NV's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fagron NV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fagron NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fagron NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fagron NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 72.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 70.6 M |
Additional Tools for Fagron Stock Analysis
When running Fagron NV's price analysis, check to measure Fagron NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fagron NV is operating at the current time. Most of Fagron NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fagron NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fagron NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fagron NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.