Jmicron Technology (Taiwan) Price Prediction
| 4925 Stock | TWD 78.40 18.20 30.23% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Jmicron Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jmicron Technology from the perspective of Jmicron Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Jmicron Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Jmicron because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Jmicron Technology after-hype prediction price | TWD 78.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Jmicron |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jmicron Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jmicron Technology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Jmicron Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jmicron Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jmicron Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Jmicron Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Jmicron Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jmicron Technology's historical news coverage. Jmicron Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 73.38 and 83.42, respectively. We have considered Jmicron Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Jmicron Technology is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jmicron Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Jmicron Technology Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jmicron Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jmicron Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jmicron Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 5.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
78.40 | 78.40 | 0.00 |
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Jmicron Technology Hype Timeline
Jmicron Technology is presently traded for 78.40on Taiwan OTC Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Jmicron is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Jmicron Technology is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 78.40. The book value of the company was presently reported as 23.84. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2020. Jmicron Technology had 1039:1000 split on the 24th of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Jmicron Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Jmicron Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Jmicron Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jmicron Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Jmicron Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jmicron Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 2379 | Realtek Semiconductor Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.43 | 0.11 | 3.70 | (3.83) | 13.80 | |
| 3189 | Kinsus Interconnect Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.41 | (1.96) | 10.99 | |
| 3035 | Faraday Technology Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.44 | (4.97) | 12.65 | |
| 5351 | Etron Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.63 | 0.03 | 5.26 | (3.82) | 15.45 | |
| 3443 | Global Unichip Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.17 | 0.04 | 7.87 | (5.28) | 16.46 |
Jmicron Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jmicron price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jmicron using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jmicron charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Jmicron Technology Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Jmicron Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Jmicron Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Jmicron Technology based on analysis of Jmicron Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Jmicron Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Jmicron Technology's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Jmicron Technology
The number of cover stories for Jmicron Technology depends on current market conditions and Jmicron Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jmicron Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jmicron Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Jmicron Stock Analysis
When running Jmicron Technology's price analysis, check to measure Jmicron Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jmicron Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Jmicron Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jmicron Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jmicron Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jmicron Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.