Highlight Communications (Germany) Price Prediction

HLG Stock   2.40  0.02  0.84%   
At this time, the value of RSI of Highlight Communications' share price is approaching 38. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Highlight Communications, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

38

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Highlight Communications stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Highlight Communications shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Highlight Communications' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Highlight Communications and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Highlight Communications' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Highlight Communications AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Highlight Communications based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Highlight stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Highlight Communications over a specific investment horizon. Using Highlight Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Highlight Communications AG from the perspective of Highlight Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Highlight Communications. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Highlight Communications to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Highlight because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Highlight Communications after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 2.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Highlight Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Highlight Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.911.942.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.362.393.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.372.412.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Highlight Communications. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Highlight Communications' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Highlight Communications' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Highlight Communications.

Highlight Communications After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Highlight Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Highlight Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Highlight Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Highlight Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Highlight Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Highlight Communications' historical news coverage. Highlight Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.37 and 3.43, respectively. We have considered Highlight Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.40
2.40
After-hype Price
3.43
Upside
Highlight Communications is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Highlight Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.

Highlight Communications Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Highlight Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Highlight Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Highlight Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
1.03
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.40
2.40
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Highlight Communications Hype Timeline

Highlight Communications is currently traded for 2.40on XETRA Stock Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Highlight is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Highlight Communications is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.40. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.19. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Highlight Communications last dividend was issued on the 6th of December 2017. The entity had 5:1 split on the 3rd of April 2000. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Highlight Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Highlight Communications Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Highlight Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Highlight Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Highlight Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Highlight Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Highlight Communications Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Highlight price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Highlight using various technical indicators. When you analyze Highlight charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Highlight Communications Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Highlight Communications stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Highlight Communications AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Highlight Communications based on analysis of Highlight Communications hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Highlight Communications's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Highlight Communications's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Highlight Communications

The number of cover stories for Highlight Communications depends on current market conditions and Highlight Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Highlight Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Highlight Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Highlight Communications Short Properties

Highlight Communications' future price predictability will typically decrease when Highlight Communications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Highlight Communications AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Highlight Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Highlight Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding56.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments53.4 M
Check out Highlight Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

Complementary Tools for Highlight Stock analysis

When running Highlight Communications' price analysis, check to measure Highlight Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Highlight Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Highlight Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Highlight Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Highlight Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Highlight Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Commodity Channel
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Please note, there is a significant difference between Highlight Communications' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Highlight Communications is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Highlight Communications' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.