Mol Plc Adr Stock Price Prediction
| MGYOY Stock | USD 4.25 0.05 1.19% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
MOL PLC ADR stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of MOL PLC shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of MOL PLC's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of MOL PLC and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from MOL PLC's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MOL PLC ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of MOL PLC based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The MOL stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on MOL PLC over a specific investment horizon. Using MOL PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MOL PLC ADR from the perspective of MOL PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in MOL PLC. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MOL PLC to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MOL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MOL PLC after-hype prediction price | USD 4.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MOL |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MOL PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MOL PLC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MOL PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MOL PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of MOL PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MOL PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MOL PLC's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MOL PLC's historical news coverage. MOL PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.81 and 6.69, respectively. We have considered MOL PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MOL PLC is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MOL PLC ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
MOL PLC Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MOL PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MOL PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MOL PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 2.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.25 | 4.25 | 0.00 |
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MOL PLC Hype Timeline
MOL PLC ADR is now traded for 4.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. MOL is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on MOL PLC is about 11482.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.25. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.6. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MOL PLC ADR last dividend was issued on the 28th of July 2022. The entity had 8:1 split on the 5th of October 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out MOL PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MOL PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MOL PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MOL PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how MOL PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MOL PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SHEL | Shell PLC ADR | 0.41 | 10 per month | 0.43 | 0.18 | 1.63 | (1.21) | 4.71 | |
| EQNR | Equinor ASA ADR | (0.34) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.04 | (2.21) | 9.62 | |
| BP | BP PLC ADR | (0.20) | 10 per month | 0.67 | 0.08 | 1.83 | (1.38) | 8.10 | |
| E | Eni SpA ADR | (0.04) | 10 per month | 1.34 | (0.05) | 1.74 | (2.13) | 5.48 | |
| PUTRY | PTT PCL ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.20 | |
| OMVKY | OMV AG PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.19 | (0) | 1.99 | (2.23) | 5.25 | |
| EIPAF | Eni SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 1.81 | (3.18) | 30.05 | |
| STOHF | Equinor ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.46 | (3.02) | 14.74 |
MOL PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MOL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MOL using various technical indicators. When you analyze MOL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MOL PLC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MOL PLC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MOL PLC ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MOL PLC based on analysis of MOL PLC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MOL PLC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MOL PLC's related companies. Story Coverage note for MOL PLC
The number of cover stories for MOL PLC depends on current market conditions and MOL PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MOL PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MOL PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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MOL PLC Short Properties
MOL PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when MOL PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MOL PLC ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MOL PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MOL PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 782.5 M |
Check out MOL PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Complementary Tools for MOL Pink Sheet analysis
When running MOL PLC's price analysis, check to measure MOL PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MOL PLC is operating at the current time. Most of MOL PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MOL PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MOL PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MOL PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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