Torex Gold Resources Stock Price Prediction
| TXG Stock | CAD 21.49 0.46 2.19% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.64 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.34 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.95 | Wall Street Target Price 27.57 |
Using Torex Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Torex Gold Resources from the perspective of Torex Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Torex Gold to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Torex because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Torex Gold after-hype prediction price | CAD 21.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Torex |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Torex Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Torex Gold After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Torex Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Torex Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Torex Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Torex Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Torex Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Torex Gold's historical news coverage. Torex Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.19 and 24.79, respectively. We have considered Torex Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Torex Gold is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Torex Gold Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Torex Gold Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Torex Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Torex Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Torex Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 2.80 | 0.50 | 0.03 | 7 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.49 | 21.99 | 2.33 |
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Torex Gold Hype Timeline
Torex Gold Resources is at this time traded for 21.49on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.5, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Torex is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.99 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 180.65%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 2.33%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Torex Gold is about 2692.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.52. Torex Gold Resources has accumulated 32 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.18, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Torex Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Torex Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Torex Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Torex Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Torex Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Torex Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OGC | OceanaGold | 0.03 | 8 per month | 3.05 | 0.08 | 4.85 | (4.94) | 16.84 | |
| WDO | Wesdome Gold Mines | (0.21) | 10 per month | 2.87 | 0.05 | 4.19 | (4.98) | 17.17 | |
| CG | Centerra Gold | 0.04 | 6 per month | 2.05 | 0.17 | 4.20 | (2.49) | 11.22 | |
| AGI | Alamos Gold | 0.18 | 10 per month | 1.83 | 0.16 | 2.77 | (3.94) | 11.00 | |
| EDV | Endeavour Mining Corp | 0.48 | 6 per month | 1.98 | 0.11 | 3.07 | (3.62) | 12.02 |
Torex Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Torex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Torex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Torex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Torex Gold Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Torex Gold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Torex Gold Resources, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Torex Gold based on analysis of Torex Gold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Torex Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Torex Gold's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 4.36 | 4.25 | 5.94 | 3.68 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 85.03 | 77.71 | 77.0 | 91.88 |
Story Coverage note for Torex Gold
The number of cover stories for Torex Gold depends on current market conditions and Torex Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Torex Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Torex Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Torex Gold Short Properties
Torex Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Torex Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Torex Gold Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Torex Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Torex Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 86.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 172.8 M |
Other Information on Investing in Torex Stock
Torex Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Torex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Torex with respect to the benefits of owning Torex Gold security.