Moderna Stock Forecast - Market Facilitation Index
| MRNA Stock | USD 117.31 5.38 4.39% |
Moderna Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Moderna stock prices and determine the direction of Moderna's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Moderna's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Moderna's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Moderna's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Moderna fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Moderna to cross-verify your projections. Moderna |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 Moderna Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Moderna's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Moderna's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Moderna stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Moderna's open interest, investors have to compare it to Moderna's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Moderna is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Moderna. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Moderna cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Moderna's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Moderna's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Market Facilitation Index is simply a difference between period high and low prices divided by period trading volume.| Check Moderna Volatility | Backtest Moderna | Information Ratio |
Moderna Trading Date Momentum
| On May 12 2024 Moderna was traded for 117.31 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 124.90 and the lowest listed price was 116.73 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on May 12, 2024 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 2.93% . |
Market Facilitation Index was developed by Dr. Bill Williams. This indicator can help to determine either strong or week signal that can follow the current trend line by looking at how Market Facilitation index correlates with trading volume over time.
| Compare Moderna to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Moderna
For every potential investor in Moderna, whether a beginner or expert, Moderna's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Moderna Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Moderna. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Moderna's price trends.View Moderna Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Moderna Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Moderna's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Moderna's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Moderna Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Moderna stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Moderna shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Moderna stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Moderna entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0654 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.66) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 120.82 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 119.65 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 8.17 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (6.19) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (5.38) |
Moderna Risk Indicators
The analysis of Moderna's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Moderna's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting moderna stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.66 | |||
| Variance | 13.39 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.86 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.90) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Moderna to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Moderna Stock refer to our How to Trade Moderna Stock guide.You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Complementary Tools for Moderna Stock analysis
When running Moderna's price analysis, check to measure Moderna's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Moderna is operating at the current time. Most of Moderna's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Moderna's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Moderna's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Moderna to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Moderna's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Moderna. If investors know Moderna will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Moderna listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.85) | Earnings Share (15.60) | Revenue Per Share 13.525 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.91) | Return On Assets (0.16) |
The market value of Moderna is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Moderna that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Moderna's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Moderna's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Moderna's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Moderna's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Moderna's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Moderna is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Moderna's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.