Toll Brothers Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| TOL Stock | USD 117.09 1.70 1.43% |
Toll Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Toll Brothers stock prices and determine the direction of Toll Brothers's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Toll Brothers' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Toll Brothers' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Toll Brothers' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Toll Brothers fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Toll Brothers to cross-verify your projections. Toll |
Open Interest Against 2024-06-14 Toll Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Toll Brothers' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Toll Brothers' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Toll Brothers stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Toll Brothers' open interest, investors have to compare it to Toll Brothers' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Toll Brothers is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Toll. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Toll Brothers cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Toll Brothers' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Toll Brothers' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Toll Brothers is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Toll Brothers to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Toll Brothers trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 19204.58 | 44467.68 |
| Check Toll Brothers Volatility | Backtest Toll Brothers | Trend Details |
Toll Brothers Trading Date Momentum
| On May 06 2024 Toll Brothers was traded for 127.76 at the closing time. Highest Toll Brothers's price during the trading hours was 127.82 and the lowest price during the day was 124.30 . The net volume was 1.4 M. The overall trading history on the 6th of May contributed to the next trading period price upswing. The trading price change to the next next day price was 3.34% . The trading price change to current price is 1.21% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Toll Brothers to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Toll Brothers
For every potential investor in Toll, whether a beginner or expert, Toll Brothers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Toll Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Toll. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Toll Brothers' price trends.Toll Brothers Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Toll Brothers stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Toll Brothers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Toll Brothers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Toll Brothers Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Toll Brothers' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Toll Brothers' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Toll Brothers Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Toll Brothers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Toll Brothers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Toll Brothers stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Toll Brothers entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 17035.35 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.78) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 116.69 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 116.82 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.45) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.70) |
Toll Brothers Risk Indicators
The analysis of Toll Brothers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Toll Brothers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting toll stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.23 | |||
| Variance | 4.98 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.73) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Toll Stock
When determining whether Toll Brothers is a strong investment it is important to analyze Toll Brothers' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Toll Brothers' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Toll Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Toll Brothers to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Toll Stock please use our How to buy in Toll Stock guide.You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toll Brothers. If investors know Toll will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Toll Brothers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.596 | Dividend Share 0.86 | Earnings Share 14.6 | Revenue Per Share 98.208 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.132 |
The market value of Toll Brothers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Toll that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Toll Brothers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Toll Brothers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Toll Brothers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Toll Brothers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toll Brothers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toll Brothers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Toll Brothers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.