Ageas SANV (Belgium) Price Prediction
| AGS Stock | EUR 45.82 0.56 1.21% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
81
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ageas SANV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ageas SANV from the perspective of Ageas SANV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ageas SANV to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ageas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ageas SANV after-hype prediction price | EUR 45.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ageas |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ageas SANV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ageas SANV After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ageas SANV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ageas SANV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ageas SANV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ageas SANV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ageas SANV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ageas SANV's historical news coverage. Ageas SANV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.74 and 46.90, respectively. We have considered Ageas SANV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ageas SANV is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ageas SANV is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ageas SANV Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ageas SANV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ageas SANV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ageas SANV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
45.82 | 45.82 | 0.00 |
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Ageas SANV Hype Timeline
ageas SANV is presently traded for 45.82on Euronext Brussels of Belgium. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ageas is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ageas SANV is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.82. About 35.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.84. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ageas SANV recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.39. The entity last dividend was issued on the 26th of October 2022. The firm had 1:10 split on the 7th of August 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Ageas SANV Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ageas SANV Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ageas SANV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ageas SANV's future price movements. Getting to know how Ageas SANV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ageas SANV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KBC | KBC Groep NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.00 | 0.11 | 1.59 | (1.59) | 4.73 | |
| GBLB | Groep Brussel Lambert | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.67 | 0.07 | 1.30 | (1.05) | 3.91 | |
| SOLB | Solvay SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.62 | 0.19 | 3.80 | (2.96) | 17.26 | |
| ACKB | Ackermans Van Haaren | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.95 | 0.08 | 1.65 | (1.62) | 4.33 | |
| SOF | Sofina Socit Anonyme | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.94 | 0.09 | 1.95 | (1.75) | 5.05 |
Ageas SANV Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ageas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ageas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ageas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ageas SANV Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ageas SANV stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ageas SANV, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ageas SANV based on analysis of Ageas SANV hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ageas SANV's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ageas SANV's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Ageas SANV
The number of cover stories for Ageas SANV depends on current market conditions and Ageas SANV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ageas SANV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ageas SANV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ageas SANV Short Properties
Ageas SANV's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ageas SANV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ageas SANV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ageas SANV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ageas SANV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 186.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 57.2 B |
Additional Tools for Ageas Stock Analysis
When running Ageas SANV's price analysis, check to measure Ageas SANV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ageas SANV is operating at the current time. Most of Ageas SANV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ageas SANV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ageas SANV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ageas SANV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.